2018 Pre Match Scalping Thread
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Riding the Ajax steam currently.
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@david-friend Not sure but I am sure between me Frode & Luke we can create some bits
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@ryan-carruthers said in Pre Match Scalping:
I am having a small back on Blackburn @1.75
Market has jumped suddenly up to 1.82
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How do you guys identify these matches?
@Ryan-Carruthers I recall seeing a video where you explain how you carry out your calculations - is that still around anywhere?
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@ryan-carruthers
Already here
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@luke-ridger I wasnt that lucky/good.
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Thankfully i was liability free but the outage meant i couldn't hedge so it turned out to be a free bet on Leeds, which didn't win. On to the next one
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@luke-ridger said in Pre Match Scalping:
Eyes on media darlings Leeds United for tonight, just waiting for a little more liquidity but think this will move south at some stage for a in and out trade.
Easy some liability out at 2.36
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@nathan-bennett hey buddy!
So to get the match odds as a % I do this calculation 1/match odds * 100 %
Then from there, I divide the home total matched by the total matched * 100 to get a %
Then take these 2 away from each other.
Working example
Swansea v Leeds
Country League Date Home Away Home Selection ID Away Selection ID H Odds Away Odds Draw Odds H Matched A Matched D Matched Total matched H A D H A D H Difference A Difference D Difference
England Championship 21/08/2018 19:45:00 Swansea Leeds 62683 48317 3.35 2.4 3.55 25065 66408 16595 108067 30 42 28 23 61 15 -7 20 -13 -
@mike-martin absolutely, i always advise trailing stop loss so if your stop loss it 2 ticks , your stop loss follows you so if odds go from 1.4 to 1.36 your stop loss becomes 1.38.
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@ryan-carruthers listened delayed to facebook live on how you go about this .. I would be very keen for some more detail around this how you go about the math etc . cheers nath
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@luke-ridger looking ready to steam.....
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Eyes on media darlings Leeds United for tonight, just waiting for a little more liquidity but think this will move south at some stage for a in and out trade.
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@frode-lia said in Pre Match Scalping:
@frode-lia said in Pre Match Scalping:
@frode-lia said in Pre Match Scalping:
I have backed Atletico Madrid @ 2.52 with 20 pts. 3 ticks SL.
Drifting south, 2.47 now.
Took green @ 2.3 with 1.8 pts green. Seems like a pretty solid support around 2.26
great work!
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@frode-lia cracker that!
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@frode-lia said in Pre Match Scalping:
@frode-lia said in Pre Match Scalping:
I have backed Atletico Madrid @ 2.52 with 20 pts. 3 ticks SL.
Drifting south, 2.47 now.
Took green @ 2.3 with 1.8 pts green. Seems like a pretty solid support around 2.26
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@ryan-carruthers perfect, sounds good!
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@simon I've got a sheet I do daily, will show you it and it will help identify them
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@ryan-carruthers yeah low risk with the sl and high potential reward. Just need to get good at spotting them now, and in the meantime follow you guys
