Attacking Betfair Trading
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@oliver-moore said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
@james-rome Cheers mate for the prompt response. That's not too different to some of the filter settings I've played around with-I find if I set it too tight I get very few matches.
From reading the forum the main FHG strategy that was out there was binned temporarily due to a lack of first half goals when football first returned during the pandemic-it may be that this gets better in time if you've hit a good rate now. It's one I'm definitely monitoring.
No problem mate happy to help. I not been doing it long so when people ask questions its good for me as well as i have to explain why i did something. Thats why i started this thread to get better so thanks for the help. With this i am just trying to cash in when a goal is scored with covering about 75 percent of the game. Its more profitable if its after 25min. this is why i started laying 0-0 as some games from FHG i was watching or following and teams be smashing someone and be 0-0 at HT and be 50min be 1-0 i tried lay the draw as lower odds but like lay 0-0 as can leave it you know when a goal scored how much you made. also if underdog scores still win regardless while with LTD may lower the draw odds.
I monitor how many goals are scored in my excel with my filter its about 63% percent games have a FHG
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@james-rome Cheers mate for the prompt response. That's not too different to some of the filter settings I've played around with-I find if I set it too tight I get very few matches.
From reading the forum the main FHG strategy that was out there was binned temporarily due to a lack of first half goals when football first returned during the pandemic-it may be that this gets better in time if you've hit a good rate now. It's one I'm definitely monitoring.
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@oliver-moore said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Hi James-do you use a filter for your FHG or just go with favourites under 1.8 with a bit of research to back them up?
I’ve played around with filters for FHG with mixed success-what I can say is the occasional 0-0’s would have obliterated any profit if laid off.
I do like the ‘saver’ lay opportunity angle this method offers so just wondered how you finalise your choices.
Hi Mate
Yeah i use a filter below. I use 1.8 fav odds just i thought if i want a goal i want a team to be alot better than the other team and who will be more likely to attack and have the quailty to score.The reason why the goal scored is low is just so can see how many they score and conceded. So I start by looking for team that score about 1.5 to 2.0 a game . I do my research look for a stong probabilty of over 1.5 goals as well normally 75 percent. So i check with https://footystats.org/ to get these and if you search for a team will give you a break down of the split when they score.if you also click on a game will give you same pre game profitabilities of other things like BTTS ,Over 2.5 Goals etc.
I hope that answers your question if it doesnt let me know happy to answer any
I liked the
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Hi James-do you use a filter for your FHG or just go with favourites under 1.8 with a bit of research to back them up?
I’ve played around with filters for FHG with mixed success-what I can say is the occasional 0-0’s would have obliterated any profit if laid off.
I do like the ‘saver’ lay opportunity angle this method offers so just wondered how you finalise your choices.
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Was just about to get matched before that goal went in i knew melbourne were terriable but could of waited at least 1 more second hahaha
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24/03/21 Selections
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory
Belgium v Wales
Malta v Russia
Portugal v Azerbijan
Slovenia v CroatiaBecause incase they are all 0-0 at HT as same KO i will aim to do these 3.
Belgium v Wales
Malta v Russia
Portugal v Azerbijan -
Results
@james-rome
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays Selection
Todays Selection
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Oldham v Exeter:+4.28wasnt sure if i shold trade this but after some research think i will Exeter have the best goals scored in the league and score 55 percent of there goal in 1st but recently goals have been scored within so maybe to early. Ill put my bets in the market so first one to be matched is 1.50 so may not get matched. Matches between these two also have 90 percent of the time with a goal or more. Posting this as this is what i look for when looking into getting a trade just woundering if this is what others do or would make look at other things as well
Tried to copy so images down below hope they come through
Total:+4.38 ...goal on 34min all bets placed nice payout and used stakes so was convinced was going to lose but won so good tuesday !!! be a good win if anyone got on it
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Todays Selection
Todays Selection
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Oldham v Exeterwasnt sure if i shold trade this but after some research think i will Exeter have the best goals scored in the league and score 55 percent of there goal in 1st but recently goals have been scored within so maybe to early. Ill put my bets in the market so first one to be matched is 1.50 so may not get matched. Matches between these two also have 90 percent of the time with a goal or more. Posting this as this is what i look for when looking into getting a trade just woundering if this is what others do or would make look at other things as well
Tried to copy so images down below hope they come through
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@martin-futter i know easy work about 2min work put the bets in they just keep a eye on the score while working
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@karl-mccarthy can get some nice profit once you get a goal passed 25min ...i mainly look for games with a fav of 1.8 but thinking of pushing it up to 2.0.I posted my excel sheet the other day just if you get a loss can be heavy but hit a lot of winners
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Results
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays Selection
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Melbourne city v Central Coast:+1.07 Pointsnice easy day!
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@james-rome I did thanks. Nice profit boost.
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@james-rome Nicely done
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@karl-mccarthy
@karl-mccarthy said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
@james-rome nice one Melbourne good start to the day.
Did you try my method out
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Results
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays Selection
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Melbourne city v Central Coast:+1.07 Points -
@james-rome nice one Melbourne good start to the day.
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Todays Selection
LTD and KO
NoneFHG & Lay 00
Melbourne city v Central Coast -
Hi All,
So after tonight its international break so not sure if i will trade over that or not. I am thinking of not so as promised here is a update of my FHG and Lay 0-0. Please note when i first of this in janurary i was only placing one bet for FHG at 1.5 after some help from Ryan and Martin I then started entering at 2.5 & 3.5 then started recently enetering at 1.51,2.0,2.5,3,3.5 to help get more profit from a first half goal. This has been a canny little earner but when its 0-0 at 80min can take a heavy loss and if you look i did have a few 0-0 in janurary which nearly made give up. I stuck with it amended it and think its ok. I am trying to lay some extra money at 0-0 on 60 as well so get some extra profit in seconf half.
I am still new to trading so please feel free to ask me questions about this system or offer any thoughts on it cheers
Excel Data
0_1616359964374_Betfair Trading FHG & Lay 00.xlsx -
@james-rome
UPDATED
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays Results
sorry didnt post these this morning was busy
LTD and KO
Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Gorica:+0.79FHG & Lay 00
Lille v Nimes:+0.45 Points
Midtjyland v Vejle:+1.56 Points
Atletico Madrid v Alvas:+1.06
Real Soc v Barceloa :+2.43
Total Points + 6.3 -
Todays Results
sorry didnt post these this morning was busy
LTD and KO
Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Gorica:+0.79FHG & Lay 00
Lille v Nimes:+0.45 Points
Midtjyland v Vejle:+1.56 Points
Atletico Madrid v Alvas:+1.06Total Points + 3.86
