NFL Strategies
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@matt-ayles said in NFL Strategies:
Lions are painful to watch... so many errors. Even the coaching staff have no idea what they're doing by the looks.
I agree they've got a tonne of draft picks but if they want a decent QB in the draft there isn't much quality in next years draft class. Mind you this year's was loaded at QB and look how bad LAwrence, Fields and to a lesser extent Wilson have been. Jones has been fine and Lance hasn't played enough which is probably the best move. Personally he'll be the best of the lot.
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Lions are painful to watch... so many errors. Even the coaching staff have no idea what they're doing by the looks.
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@chris-osborne Update, Fields is out for the Bears which infinitely improves there chances
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Three games today due to thanksgiving, first one has the makings of an awfu game which I'll be avoiding but in the other two, in my opinion Cowboys and Bills both priced too low.
I've highlighted the games that coulld interest me on Sunday, looks to be earlyvalue on Colts, Steelers and Vikings
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@martin said in NFL Strategies:
@ryan said in NFL Strategies:
Well I am looking to Seattle's picks in the draft
Wilson is a worry isn't he, apparently he wants out too.
He wanted out last offseason. This years crop of qb’s in next year’s draft is incredibly weak.
Alot of the qb market next year is going to depend on what happens with Deshaun Watson especially legally although potentially facing a suspension, still a massive upgrade on what a lot of teams have.
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@matt-ayles said in NFL Strategies:
@martin said in NFL Strategies:
Another wild week!
Too right it was. Some very interesting results. Patriots are going to win the AFC again!
Thankfully Packers lead briefly so managed to escape with about a quarter point profit and that was the only game I traded so potentially dodged some bullets there.
Yeah AFC looks weak this year! Quite glad to see Bills lose, media loves them too much these days.
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@matt-ayles said in NFL Strategies:
@martin said in NFL Strategies:
Another wild week!
Too right it was. Some very interesting results. Patriots are going to win the AFC again!
Thankfully Packers lead briefly so managed to escape with about a quarter point profit and that was the only game I traded so potentially dodged some bullets there.
Wild is an understatement ended up with a 1pt loss in the end which I’ll take after that set of results. Although I backed the Titans when they went 12-0 early on never expected them to lose that even in the fourth quarter which added to the loss.
What a game from Jonathan Taylor
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@martin said in NFL Strategies:
Another wild week!
Too right it was. Some very interesting results. Patriots are going to win the AFC again!
Thankfully Packers lead briefly so managed to escape with about a quarter point profit and that was the only game I traded so potentially dodged some bullets there.
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Jackson out for Ravens v Bears probably one to avoid
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@matt-ayles like the look of my cowboys at chiefs also those two definitely games of the week
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@chris-osborne brilliant analysis as usual mate.
The most interesting game for me is Packers/Vikings. Certainly looks a tight one, although my opinion (and like yours, it is only my opinion based on what I've read), is that the Packers are good value as although Jones is out, AJ Dillon is quality and it won't be long before he's lead back. He's a bit like Henry for Titans, a machine.
Rodgers won't be rushing himself so it will give him a chance to show what he's got.
Think this will be one of those swing games that should offer green opportunities whichever side you go. -
My views on this weekends games
Green highlights I will back, Red be laying
Please note these are my own views and not recommendations to follow. If you do so, its at your own risk.
Thanksgiving on Thursday, three traditional games
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@matt-ayles Wish I'd avoided everything else
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@chris-osborne what a mess the Steelers game has been! Neither team wants to win. Good call to avoid it.
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@chris-osborne said in NFL Strategies:
Other than the two games @Dan-Peacey highlighted, struggling to find much in the way of value in this week's games
The opportunities for me come from favourites which are priced too low: -
Bills 1.17 at Jets 6.6 - Bills should be the class of the AFC but they we're appalling last week at home to the Jags without scoring a single touchdown. Similar match up this week, 1.17 is far too low.
Cowboys 1.27 at home to Falcons 4.5 - Cowboys had a similar match up last week at home to Broncos and we're shocking. Hopefully a one off but the Falcons are a similar team to Broncos but they could cause them a lot of trouble especially if Ryan and Pitts click.
Browns 2-2 at Patriots 1.83 - first game Dan mentioned, Browns are without Chubb and Hunt but D'Ernest Johnson has stepped up to the plate. Browns had a good win last week at the Bengals who on there day are better than the PAtriots. Browns are wildely inconsistent but certainly worth backing
Chiefs 1.74 at Raiders 2.32 - looks like the market is slowly catching up to how overrated the Chiefs are and living off past glories. There offence is not clicking at all and I would expect the Raiders to win. This is the second game Dan mentioned.
Jags 5 at Colts 1.24 - Both teams with losing records yet Colts are strong favourites can only be home advantage but don't think there is that much between the teams other than Jonathan Taylor. For me Colts priced too low.
Shocking first half got everything hopelessly wrong what a difference a week makes
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@matt-ayles said in NFL Strategies:
@martin said in NFL Strategies:
Quite nice watching red zone not expecting a Dolphins defeat!
Oh dear. You've said it now.
I see others have already given excellent analysis of tonights key trading options. The only one I'd add is Steelers... I feel 1.44 is generous against the worst team in the NFL right now.
My approach here however would be to see out the first quarter, maybe the Lions get a good start and go up early, let the Steelers price drift a touch, then back them at around 1.7 or so.
If the Steelers lead throughout there will be no trade.Rothlesburger out with Covid is a big factor MAsomn Rudolph is one of th worse back ups and thats saying something
