The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan gone through the cards manually today as can't get any filters working at the moment, couple of good pace horses on the all weather at Polar opposite prices
9th November
Bailey's Accolade Newcastle AW 6f 4:20 PM
Eponina Newcastle AW 7f 7:00 PMWell the first one won at around 3.1 BSP so must have dobbed
Wow Eponina 2nd in from 63 BSP to 13 IR
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No match on the last one. 0.6 profit
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan gone through the cards manually today as can't get any filters working at the moment, couple of good pace horses on the all weather at Polar opposite prices
9th November
Bailey's Accolade Newcastle AW 6f 4:20 PM
Eponina Newcastle AW 7f 7:00 PMWell the first one won at around 3.1 BSP so must have dobbed
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan purely testing this data but yes I agree good time to test. I like the idea of going through race cards and clicking a horse and adding in to a basket, then at the end you can export the ones you like together. What do you think about that?
Yes I do. Blinding idea
@Adam I may have explained what I mean better here
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan purely testing this data but yes I agree good time to test. I like the idea of going through race cards and clicking a horse and adding in to a basket, then at the end you can export the ones you like together. What do you think about that?
Yes I do. Blinding idea
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@john-folan purely testing this data but yes I agree good time to test. I like the idea of going through race cards and clicking a horse and adding in to a basket, then at the end you can export the ones you like together. What do you think about that?
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@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
14:22 Hereford. Lost in Monmarte.
Nice work as usual! Lost in Monmarte.Lost in Hereford
It’s not been nice work as usual, mad run of odds ons winning lately. Was quite pleased with that one though. Especially with that name
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
14:22 Hereford. Lost in Monmarte.
Nice work as usual! Lost in Monmarte.Lost in Hereford
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan gone through the cards manually today as can't get any filters working at the moment, couple of good pace horses on the all weather at Polar opposite prices
9th November
Bailey's Accolade Newcastle AW 6f 4:20 PM
Eponina Newcastle AW 7f 7:00 PMI shall watch those with interest. I like the racecards. Adams adding some of our recommendations this Thursday. It’s really starting to take shape
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Odds On Lays 09/11
14:22 Hereford. Lost in Monmarte. Straight fight between this horse and Neville’s Cross
16:55 Newcastle Azure Blue. First time on this surface. Not won yet. Bit of a cavalry charge.
15:15 Fairyhouse Happy Dex. Up against another LTO winner. Not run since May.
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@john-folan gone through the cards manually today as can't get any filters working at the moment, couple of good pace horses on the all weather at Polar opposite prices
9th November
Bailey's Accolade Newcastle AW 6f 4:20 PM
Eponina Newcastle AW 7f 7:00 PM -
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin
You need to compare the lowest inrunning price to BSP as I have done here. Then underneath you want a percentage of times for that horse to have dobbed against your preferred number of races as below.
Then under staking, you need to set a back entry point.(I've done race start time so its close to bsp, but you can do five minutes or five seconds before the off. Then your hedge needs to be 100% profit or one point for dobs or 200% or 2 points for trobs. Watch it though, I'm not sure its working properly yet. It's just working on whether the horse wins or not. I've flagged it to poor Adam who is probably starting to regret letting me anywhere near this lol
Have you run any back testing successfully in past couple of days? Mine is stuck on an ever loading screen but may be the strategy I'm using
Yes. But depends on the strategy . It might be the rules. Anything with odds filters causes it to hang for example.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin
You need to compare the lowest inrunning price to BSP as I have done here. Then underneath you want a percentage of times for that horse to have dobbed against your preferred number of races as below.
Then under staking, you need to set a back entry point.(I've done race start time so its close to bsp, but you can do five minutes or five seconds before the off. Then your hedge needs to be 100% profit or one point for dobs or 200% or 2 points for trobs. Watch it though, I'm not sure its working properly yet. It's just working on whether the horse wins or not. I've flagged it to poor Adam who is probably starting to regret letting me anywhere near this lol
Have you run any back testing successfully in past couple of days? Mine is stuck on an ever loading screen but may be the strategy I'm using
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-0.25 points.
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First race went well. Second race was done near the end. Close run thing. One to go
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@martin
You need to compare the lowest inrunning price to BSP as I have done here. Then underneath you want a percentage of times for that horse to have dobbed against your preferred number of races as below.
Then under staking, you need to set a back entry point.(I've done race start time so its close to bsp, but you can do five minutes or five seconds before the off. Then your hedge needs to be 100% profit or one point for dobs or 200% or 2 points for trobs. Watch it though, I'm not sure its working properly yet. It's just working on whether the horse wins or not. I've flagged it to poor Adam who is probably starting to regret letting me anywhere near this lol
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@john-folan do you know what to put in the back testing section if you are looking for DOBs for example on the software?
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08/11. Odds On lays.
13:10 Wolverhampton Dark Swansong. Poor draw bias as Wolves favours the lower stalls. Price too short based on form. Should be around 3’s
12:50 Kempton Midnights Legacy. Up in trip and running under a penalty. Won against two other runners lto. A fair few more this time including a few unexposed horses.
13:55 Kempton. Doddlethegreat. On a hat trick but so is the second favourite. Way too short. Should be at least evens. Massively up in trip against a horse who won at this distance LTO.