Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Plenty going on tomorrow but only 4 fall under the filtered tab. I'm looking at the whole football is just a crapshoot thing in particular at those with the strongest stats of clean sheets and 2 goals + scored.

Staggering on the small amount so far that have not only failed to win but lost at very short odds.

Not sure I phrased that right. Small amount of data has so far produced many winning lays for what look like sure things based on clean sheets and 2+ goals scored.

Richard Latimer

Plenty going on tomorrow but only 4 fall under the filtered tab. I'm looking at the whole football is just a crapshoot thing in particular at those with the strongest stats of clean sheets and 2 goals + scored.

Staggering on the small amount so far that have not only failed to win but lost at very short odds.

Ryan

@simon I’ll get these - how many corners does it take to lead to a goal?

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@richard-latimer read it recently too, a good read. Makes you think just how much chance/luck is involved, especially when evenly matched teams play each other.

Love the numbers behind how many corners actually lead to goals too, total myth buster!

Richard Latimer

Just purchased Soccernomics now which looks similar. Love all these books that look at the numbers behind things that happen though.

Richard Latimer

On a side note has anyone ever read 'The Numbers Game'? Just finished it. Quite enlightening. Even with all the stats and marginal gains there is still a huge element of chance to every game. Regardless of odds too.

And a team performing amazingly well will almost always regress to the mean at some point while a team doing the opposite do the same in the other direction.

When a manager is fired and they appear to bounce back for a little bit the results for teams doing similar who don't fire the manager immediately tend to bounce back in the same fashion.

Not conceding is more valuable to a win than scoring one. Only scoring 2 gives the same high percentage chance of winning as keeping a clean sheet.

It's given me a few things to look at in terms of sides.

Richard Latimer

Just the one in Brazil Serie B tomorrow. No dice there. League too inconsistent.

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer BOOOOO!!

Crap for footie today isnt it!

Seems like haha

Ryan

@richard-latimer BOOOOO!!

Crap for footie today isnt it!

Richard Latimer

Nothing for Thursday

Richard Latimer

Well shanghai got matched for 15 quid so if you're betting small maybe that's a winner. Young Lions traded a small amount at 1.2 pre kick-off so left to go inplay. That's another winner.