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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.6k Posts 81 Posters 436.8k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1981

    6/6 +£13.08 full update to follow

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1982

    Sweden on hold for time being. That one's a mistake. 10 selections but within that a loss.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1983

    Nothing qualifying yet today although have certainly missed a potentiall expensive loser which until recently would have been a play. 1-0 Halden.

    0_1635601156823_5960e03a-f8da-4559-8874-ed8e95f14083-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1984

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @matt-wood said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Morning Richard, I know you record and use odds a lot for your stuff. Do you get the odds post game at all? If so is there a pace you get those? just looking at it for something I'm testing and need to see if I have to be recording odds for each game as it kicks off.

    Cheers in advance 👍

    Yes absolutely. It's what I rely on. Oddsportal.com

    You can get both average book price, specific bookies and also exchange prices.

    Thanks Richard, I'll check it out 👍

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #1985

    @matt-wood said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Morning Richard, I know you record and use odds a lot for your stuff. Do you get the odds post game at all? If so is there a pace you get those? just looking at it for something I'm testing and need to see if I have to be recording odds for each game as it kicks off.

    Cheers in advance 👍

    Yes absolutely. It's what I rely on. Oddsportal.com

    You can get both average book price, specific bookies and also exchange prices.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    wrote on last edited by
    #1986

    Morning Richard, I know you record and use odds a lot for your stuff. Do you get the odds post game at all? If so is there a pace you get those? just looking at it for something I'm testing and need to see if I have to be recording odds for each game as it kicks off.

    Cheers in advance 👍

    Catch that Green!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1987

    Updated results. Volendam was in outlier territory so not taken. Same with Start although both won.

    Hoffenheim was in outlier territory and lost. A good start to the plan.

    0_1635553225107_ae9449c8-8d50-4086-bec3-5a5bd4da5cce-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1988

    3/3 +£6.54 and 1 loser avoided in Hoffenheim

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1989

    0_1635464322033_a340120f-3561-42b2-b121-1424deb6b979-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1990

    For Friday:

    The leagues I have complete and utter faith in with relation to number of selections so far and win/loss ratio.

    Also in red listed with criteria is the limit for certain criteria I will take. I've basically left 10 selections aside from the qualifying figure so I can stop blaming outliers when they happen and prepare for the possibility.

    As the days, weeks, months and ultimately years go by, they will either become a fixture of be excluded on the basis that as soon as few more selections happened at these ends of the scale the they brought with them losses.

    The difference now is that with those potential losses on paper they will no longer bring losses to the actual bank.

    I am basically as prepared and ready to do battle as I could be!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #1991

    @john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Richard, why don’t you get one months membership of football bet data? It’s about £8 and you could back test this in a couple of days. Save yourself a lot of time and work to be fair.

    How would I backtest according to ave book prices for overs?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #1992

    Richard, why don’t you get one months membership of football bet data? It’s about £8 and you could back test this in a couple of days. Save yourself a lot of time and work to be fair.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1993

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    I am going to hit Royal Pari if it stays like this however. LCS 1-0 in that one.

    Easy win that one for a change and also good for the data as another win in Italy.

    I just have to start seeing the big picture. Standing aside for a few when so many are proven anyway really shouldn't be the end of the world.

    And it won't be long before more follow suit and can also be seen as proven.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1994

    I am going to hit Royal Pari if it stays like this however. LCS 1-0 in that one.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1995

    Going to start the way I mean to carry on. As much as I believe there is another goal coming in Napoli, the home odds are quite low. I recently upped the limit to 1.22 but that means I only have a couple of good selections at this price point. If I want to start being more rsik averse then I have to let this one go until it is no longer an outlier.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1996

    Todays potentials. ITA Serie B 100% on the tracking only list but the other 3 should be find situation dependent as always.

    0_1635436013122_5c3446f9-3f19-4577-9a24-ab3fc1aa6465-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1997

    New plan of attack starting today.

    Not playing any leagues without at least 10 games of data and only then if all 10 games have been positive.

    1 loss and I'll want 15 games before I pursue that league.
    2 losses and I'll want 22 games before I pursue it again.
    By this stage I would say we are starting to sort the wheat from the chaff and I doubt I'll have to do anything else but in the event of 3 losses I'll have to figure out an entry point to get back in.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1998

    @chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer apologies, misunderstood what you meant

    No worries. I probably wasn't very clear haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1999

    @richard-latimer apologies, misunderstood what you meant

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2000

    Had 3 overnighters go my way in the states and this month is in the green by 8 or 9pts if you were to look it at that way.

    I should add though that after waking with fresh eyes this morning I was able to immediately look at the one thing I hadn't taken into account in Charlotte. Ave over 0.5 odds for H2 1.07. That was only the 7th qualifier at 1-0 and at 6/7 even if the average odds were only 7.0 (they wouldn't be) it's no better than break even.

    For now I'll increase the minimum odds on this scoreline. The other thing to note is that from the 1.07 odds I did have all the previous winners were in leagues I would have to drop in a year or 2 anyway.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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