BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Draw 1.7 overs or unders long term ?
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Just thought I’d pop by and introduce myself, I joined yesterday so am getting a feeling for the site. Cricket is my favourite sport (thanks to my dad!) and I work my schedule around test matches!
It was actually looking at cricket odds and how they change that made me first think about trading and start doing some research. Which brought me here.
I am reading everything with interest and following the odds closely for this match.
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Go IND want odds on
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@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Have closed out India lay at 3.65 could be a tricky night for me to trade but will see where it takes me. Writing off tomorrow as I’ll be flying home so will see if I can add a bit more green tonight if India get back to around 3 or a bit less to lay them again.
Bugger was heading back to hotel when I closed and now it’s raining again.
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Have closed out India lay at 3.65 could be a tricky night for me to trade but will see where it takes me. Writing off tomorrow as I’ll be flying home so will see if I can add a bit more green tonight if India get back to around 3 or a bit less to lay them again.
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If Accuweather is to be believed, doesn't look like there will be any more play before lunch. But my radar is a little more positive, with the rain clearing around 12.35. No doubt they'll take lunch when the sun is shining!
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Didn't quite make it to 4, but still a nice lucrative short term trade.
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I Got out of that quick when the first drop of rain fell!
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@luke-weston said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Laying the draw to start with I think. Looks like we'll get some play for a little while and could be action stations this morning with Pant in and India with the worst tail in history.
Brave move. Hope it works out in the long run.
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@chris-osborne quality
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Laying the draw to start with I think. Looks like we'll get some play for a little while and could be action stations this morning with Pant in and India with the worst tail in history.
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I’m afraid It’s just started raining in Leicester where I am about 25 miles away if not at Nottingham already likely to be there soon
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If things go to plan I could easily see India drifting to 4 and above pretty quickly.
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Hoping to get a lay of India in just above 3. Even with Pant at the crease, I can't see them going too gung-ho straight away and with rain likely within the first half-hour should be in a strong trading position.
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@richard-futter play starting 11 correct . cheers for all this
also you'd assume both camps would know so theory batsmen perserve (or try too) there wicket
except pant naturally ha -
Looking at radar, seems we will get a prompt start with some light rain likely around 11.15 but only for a short while. After that looks as if there will be a more substantial fall around 12.15, followed by showers throughout the rest of the day, interspersed with brighter spells. Another on-off day it seems, which should make for some more nice swings.
Laying India just ahead of likely rainfall should make for a win-win situation. If a wicket falls we're quids in, if not the rain should see them drift anyway. That's the theory!
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@richard-futter liking this .., if goes the other way and IND go well and deep into red I'd be a layer for a swing
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huge draw drift really wrong side of some of that . all good
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Interesting that the draw price has been drifting slightly overnight. Definitely another day to pay close attention to the rainfall radar. The weatherman says it will be something of a lottery today. Some places might even escape the rain altogether - although that looks extremely unlikely at Trent Bridge - but where it does rain, it could be slow moving and torrential.
As for the on-field action, that could be equally unpredictable. With Rishabh Pant at the crease, India could race past England's first innings total in a flash. Equally, with probably the worst tail in world cricket, they could collapse like a deck of cards. Personally, with the prevailing on-off conditions and plenty of cloud cover, I'll be surprised if they carve out a substantial lead.
If any two of Pant, Rahul and Jadeja go early, a lay of India is definitely the order of the day for me.
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@luke-weston if this the case market should drop easy 10-15c maybe 20 once the world sees the covers on
im on this scenario and would be happy to green up 1.50-1.45 range and suss from there
if draw did drop to above price range also the possibility it stays stale for a long time
any hints of play naturally will spike up hardmany swings to come think
