The BTC Football Trading Thread
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Todays LTD:
KTP vs Haka (Finland)
Lay to win 1pt
A couple potential trades lined up for today so ill post when/if entered
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19-07 Todays Goal Games
I will hopefully be trading all above games with my Split Stake if odds hit 1.3 circa 10-15mins and score is still 0-0
Best of luck if following
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Russia - Premier League
Ukraine - Premier League
France - Ligue 2
Germamy - Bundesliga
Belgium - 1st Division
Czech Rep - League 1 & League 2It barely seems a few weeks since some of these stopped playing.
It could be a strange season with a late finish last year, an early start this year and the euros in between
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@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sunday Lay under 1.5
Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Goal too early
Los Angeles FC Real Salt Lake 2-1 Goal too early
Norrkoping Hacken 0-1 (-3)
FC Copenhagen Aalborg 2-2 (+0.98)
Brann Mjondalen 1-1 (+0.98)
Stromsgodset Stabaek 2-1 (+0.98)-0.06
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Stromsgodset vs Stabaek 1-1
GOAL! 2-1 plenty of chances here, nice way to end the week won both my cricket games too, so overall chuffed with this weekend trading and personally :cricket_game:
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Evening All.
I appreciate I am new here and this question is probably old hat, however before I start my own research I thought I would see if anyone else already had this information.
Has anybody looked into a strategy for very late goals (in any league), for example laying current score after 85 minutes, or presumably backing another goal would be similar.
How do the typical odds on those markets, at that time in the match, compare to the percentage of goals that are scored after 85 minutes?
It's a strategy I want to start paper trading but if someone (or many someones) has thought of this already perhaps we could chat?
Thanks all.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Quite a few leagues start back next weekend:
Russia - Premier League
Ukraine - Premier League
France - Ligue 2
Germamy - Bundesliga
Belgium - 1st Division
Czech Rep - League 1 & League 2Seems to get earlier each year, remember the good old days when the seasons started in September well the English leagues did
All of these countries will have a winter break so need the early start. English leagues always started mid august as long as I can remember
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Quite a few leagues start back next weekend:
Russia - Premier League
Ukraine - Premier League
France - Ligue 2
Germamy - Bundesliga
Belgium - 1st Division
Czech Rep - League 1 & League 2Seems to get earlier each year, remember the good old days when the seasons started in September well the English leagues did
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Quite a few leagues start back next weekend:
Russia - Premier League
Ukraine - Premier League
France - Ligue 2
Germamy - Bundesliga
Belgium - 1st Division
Czech Rep - League 1 & League 2 -
SHG Stromsgodset vs Stabaek 1-1
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@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My list for todays SHG's:
USA Mls 18/07/2021 03:00:00 Vancouver Whitecaps Los Angeles Galaxy
USA Mls 18/07/2021 03:30:00 Portland Timbers FC Dallas
Sweden Superettan 18/07/2021 12:00:00 AFC Eskilstuna Sundsvall
Norway Obos-ligaen 18/07/2021 14:00:00 Fredrikstad Bryne
Sweden Allsvenskan 18/07/2021 14:00:00 Norrkoping Hacken
Norway Eliteserien 18/07/2021 17:00:00 Haugesund ValerengaMissed the Whitecaps game, both USA games came in with late goals so i was able to leave a bid in overnight in the Portland game and got matched.
Goals in every game in the second half, managed to get matched on these:
USA Mls 18/07/2021 03:30:00 Portland Timbers FC Dallas (+1.5 points)
Sweden Superettan 18/07/2021 12:00:00 AFC Eskilstuna Sundsvall (+1.31 points)
Sweden Allsvenskan 18/07/2021 14:00:00 Norrkoping Hacken (+2.28 points)- 5.09 points for the day. Nice!
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18-07 Todays Goal Games
I will hopefully be trading all above games (subject to hangover subsiding) with my Split Stake if odds hit 1.3 circa 10-15mins and score is still 0-0 (not that they will hit 1.3 with an earlier goal )
Am now including Belarus as this league seems to deliver 1 goal minimum between 10 & 80mins (often earlier)
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My list for todays SHG's:
USA Mls 18/07/2021 03:00:00 Vancouver Whitecaps Los Angeles Galaxy
USA Mls 18/07/2021 03:30:00 Portland Timbers FC Dallas
Sweden Superettan 18/07/2021 12:00:00 AFC Eskilstuna Sundsvall
Norway Obos-ligaen 18/07/2021 14:00:00 Fredrikstad Bryne
Sweden Allsvenskan 18/07/2021 14:00:00 Norrkoping Hacken
Norway Eliteserien 18/07/2021 17:00:00 Haugesund ValerengaMissed the Whitecaps game, both USA games came in with late goals so i was able to leave a bid in overnight in the Portland game and got matched.
Really pleased to see the scandi leagues popping up now as it gets close to a year of learning to trade on BTC and lurking these threads. These leagues were the first that I really started to trade and see positive results with. It's been a fair old learning curve but really happy with the progress in the time so respect to everyone on here for their insight and general bants.
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Sunday Lay under 1.5
Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC Real Salt Lake
Norrkoping Hacken
FC Copenhagen Aalborg
Brann Mjondalen
Stromsgodset Stabaek -
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good afternoon all
Lay under 1.5 goals for me today
Degerfors Malmo FF 0-5 (Goal too early)
Landskrona Trelleborgs 4-2 (+0.98)
Odd Viking 3-2 (+0.98)
Dundalk Finn Harps 1-0 (-2.66)
Elfsborg Ostersunds 3-0 (+0.98)+0.28
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I've had too much wine this afternoon, but he's the lays for Sunday, 18th July - @daniel-cooper
Lay Under 1.5 Goals:
00:00 - New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami
01:30 - Nashville v Chicago Fire
15:00 - FC Kobenhavn v Aalborg
17:55 - Istra v Hrvatski
19:00 - Stromsgodset v Stabaek
20:00 - Mladost v Radnicki
22:00 - River Plate v ColonThe ones in bold are on my list. The others are potential lays.
Heading to bed here!
Layla tov!
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@james-woodroffe I took the red in the Dundalk match only because I've had a bit of a bad time recently and thought the small green be nice. I got on the elfsborg match at 1.35 for the full green. Only doing £2 stakes at moment with these backing the over side. I going to log them and see how it goes with the strategies that darri was on about in his post about index fund.
Malmo was on a correct score trade. App crashed and forget to look what market I entered thought it was half time not full time. But 3 goals in quick succession would of killed the trade and lost 2 points.
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2 from 3 today which equals just under 1 point Red and I can live with that.
Elfsborg got me 1 point but the Dandalk match finished 1-0. I think going forward I might green up if the lay U1.5’s see a goal in the first half rather than let them run. Food for thought at the moment I’m sticking to Keith’s that match mine but just thinking what works best for my psyche going forward. Keith’s lay U1.5 are obviously profitable but just wondering as I said if it works better for me to just take the green when on offer. I thought about it today when Dandalk took the lead and because it’s a early move from my LTD - LCS just wanna see as I said what works best for me and my mindset. -
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Lay Under 1.5 Goals: Saturday, 17th July - @daniel-cooper
16:00 - Dundalk v Finn Harps
16:30 - Elfsborg v OstersundsOn the Dundalk match also mate but will be holding off on Elfsborg for a bit. Lay odds a touch high for me but will reassess around 30 if still 0-0.
Elfsborg laid U1.5 at 3.0 about 15-20 mins ago.