BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Nathan Bennett

Well ahead market on men’s final draw at mo
Rather cricket and mass swings
How’s the whole week looking @James-Woodroffe seen a few read ups sounding like plenty interruption and day 3 maybe bad poor weather may extend past reserve day aswell
Hope wrong
Then there’s darkness factor ?

James Woodroffe

Laid the draw in the women’s test yesterday at 1.39 using my bonuses and then pretty much removed all liability not long after.
As for Southampton tomorrow definitely looks the worst of the days which could be cool for a draw back followed by a lay as we still have the rain day if we lose all of tomorrow. I’m just wondering how many people out there are aware of that factor and could those who are not help really drive the draw price down.

Ryan

Ive done 2, yes 2 cricket trades in the last week!! What is happening to me!?

Nathan Bennett

@richard-futter brilliant love it .. disheartening potential world final looming

Richard Futter

I have to say I think the draw price at Bristol now looks very low indeed at 1.34. Much depends on the weather, I know, but according to the BBC chances of rain are below 20% for every playing hour remaining in the match and, in theory, there are still 300 overs to be bowled. I would be very surprised indeed if the draw price didn't trade significantly higher at some stage over the next 3 days. If there's a prompt start this morning it's got to be worth a shot.

Martin

@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

As expected a big drift on India, out from 4.5 to 9 before a ball is bowled.

Made some really nice profit on this one, thanks for the advice!

Richard Futter

@dj-reid I think a lay of the draw around the current level is a good, low-risk lay as I will be surprised if it shortens too much from here, but if there are wickets or quick runs we should get a little more green.

Nathan Bennett

@dj-reid nar all good got to ask .., i'm no pro but can make a dollar ev now and then ha
no on this occasion it would of been if wicket fell would either of lay IND or back draw for a small swing
why
cause of ENG dominance top 3-4 batters

basically shut up shop myself . great shout by richard smart stuff

unsure exactly what the weather doing but maybe when IND bat could be the time to lay the draw

DJ Reid

@nathan-bennett so let the draw come in more and then lay, hoping for Eng wickets and it moves out again?

Sorry for all the questions guys. New to cricket trading.

DJ Reid

@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast

Good to get it right, but I didn't really expect it to go out as far as 11.5 this soon!

Damn missed this.

Is there currently any trade on this? Back the Indian woman and hope it come in a bit and the market settles or too much risk in that Eng will blow them away?

If Eng so much better, worth a lay the draw even though the weather forecast is not good?

Nathan Bennett

@richard-futter and draw steaming .. potential scalp draw market on first few eng wickets

Richard Futter

@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast

Good to get it right, but I didn't really expect it to go out as far as 11.5 this soon!

Nathan Bennett

free trade that

Richard Futter

As expected a big drift on India, out from 4.5 to 9 before a ball is bowled.

Nathan Bennett

@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast

Richard Futter

The women's Test starts today in Bristol, and for me the play is to lay India - especially if England bat first.

India have not played a single Test match in six years and conditions in the West Country will be totally foreign to them. They're playing on a used pitch, which usually makes for a dull, lifeless surface for the bowlers, and there could be rain about tomorrow and Friday.

Also, it's a four-day Test so the chances of a stalemate are greatly enhanced and I won't be at all surprised to see the current draw odds of 2.5 contract sharply over the course of the match.

As for the India-New Zealand World Test Championship, it seems likely the first day could be washed out but - with an extra day available if necessary - I'll be looking to lay the draw at some stage on day one if it dips towards 2.5 or lower.

I think there should be some really good trading in this one, and I strongly fancy the Kiwis to take the prize. They're a superbly well-drilled outfit who were streets ahead of England at Lord's and Edgbaston and are much better prepared than India.

The only danger to New Zealand is if they have to bat last on a turning pitch, when Ashwin and Jadeja would be a real menace. Should make for some great watching.

Nathan Bennett

This point absolutely a gamble on the weather and where market sits and guesstimate of the starting price
Trade targets this far out
Happy to see what happens first odds on or a loss around 5.50-$6 wouldn’t hurt

And yeah previous test took what 300 overs to complete

I hope for bulk cricket
Ideally odds on draw and flip the book hard

James Woodroffe

@chris-osborne are you referring to a particular weatherman I was told about who made a rather big blunder once upon a time?

? Offline

@james-woodroffe isn’t it a bit risky to be believing UK weather forecasters who aren’t exactly known for there accuracy

James Woodroffe

@dj-reid I guess with the extra day mate the point is to try and minimise the prospect of a draw and weather forecasts are weather forecasts.
Both sides have excellent pace attacks so also maybe with overhead conditions a result is still favoured. This sounds naive but where is this awful weather coming from? I live in Hampshire and will be at the match so I’m seriously hoping for lots of cricket.