My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road
-
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Cheers, thanks for answering my dumb Qs and on a sun afternoon too! Sorry about that I forget sometimes that weekends are busy trading times.
No worries
i go more on odds based games rather than form -
@steve-sandell Cheers, thanks for answering my dumb Qs and on a sun afternoon too! Sorry about that I forget sometimes that weekends are busy trading times.
-
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Doing fantastic with these mate, well done!
How are you selecting the games for consideration? Do you do it manually from your database? Cheers in advance
Cheers Matt yeah just filter the games
Basically odds on home teams below 2.0 then look at how many times scored O1.5How far back do you look? Im going round in circles on my filters trying to decide between ppast 5 or past 10 games lol
My excel sheet goes back to 2017 so filter back to then but want more than 20 games otherwise i dont bother with them. The games when i say edge of my filter is when it hits 18- 19 games
So you are including previous seasons as well then? Do you find that to be relevant data for the current season?
Will give you an example
Mallorca game later they have played 20 games (2018 - 2021) at home odds on (under 2.0) currently at 1.82 - 17 of them games have gone O1.5 which is 85%
I try to keep it simple -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Doing fantastic with these mate, well done!
How are you selecting the games for consideration? Do you do it manually from your database? Cheers in advance
Cheers Matt yeah just filter the games
Basically odds on home teams below 2.0 then look at how many times scored O1.5How far back do you look? Im going round in circles on my filters trying to decide between ppast 5 or past 10 games lol
My excel sheet goes back to 2017 so filter back to then but want more than 20 games otherwise i dont bother with them. The games when i say edge of my filter is when it hits 18- 19 games
So you are including previous seasons as well then? Do you find that to be relevant data for the current season?
-
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Doing fantastic with these mate, well done!
How are you selecting the games for consideration? Do you do it manually from your database? Cheers in advance
Cheers Matt yeah just filter the games
Basically odds on home teams below 2.0 then look at how many times scored O1.5How far back do you look? Im going round in circles on my filters trying to decide between ppast 5 or past 10 games lol
My excel sheet goes back to 2017 so filter back to then but want more than 20 games otherwise i dont bother with them. The games when i say edge of my filter is when it hits 18- 19 games
-
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Doing fantastic with these mate, well done!
How are you selecting the games for consideration? Do you do it manually from your database? Cheers in advance
Cheers Matt yeah just filter the games
Basically odds on home teams below 2.0 then look at how many times scored O1.5How far back do you look? Im going round in circles on my filters trying to decide between ppast 5 or past 10 games lol
-
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Doing fantastic with these mate, well done!
How are you selecting the games for consideration? Do you do it manually from your database? Cheers in advance
Cheers Matt yeah just filter the games
Basically odds on home teams below 2.0 then look at how many times scored O1.5 -
Those who are following
Mallorca match just laid at 2.96 great price just need the goals now -
@lee-woodman said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Out of interest how are you trading these? Iām looking at O1.5 market myself and curious how others trade them
Laying U1.5 at odds no bigger than 5. So might have to wait in play till i get matched. If odds are below 5 at KO then i go straight in at KO.
If i miss early goals before i get matched then just move on -
@steve-sandell Out of interest how are you trading these? Iām looking at O1.5 market myself and curious how others trade them
-
Lay U1.5 - Sun 23.5.21
2.00 Inter v Udinese
2.30 Bochum v Sandhausen
2.30 Greuther v Fortuna
2.30 Hamburg v Braunschweig
2.30 Holstein v Darmstadt
4.00 Arsenal v Brighton
4.00 Liverpool v C Palace
4.00 Man City v Everton
4.30 Hacken v Varbergs
5.15 Mallorca v Zaragoza
7.45 Napoli v Verona
7.45 Torino v Benevento
8.00 Lyon v Nice
8.00 St Etienne v DijonBig list will see what we get matched on, i doubt it will be every game
Also Bochum and Greuther games are on the edge of my filters so not sure -
@steve-sandell fantastic run!
-
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Sat 22.5.21
Results
2.30 Bayern v Augsburg - Goal too early
2.30 Dortmund v Leverkusen - Goal too early
2.30 Koln v Schalke - 1-0
2.30 Hoffenheim v Herta Berlin - 2-1
2.30 Wolfsburg v Mainz - 2-3
5.00 Real Madrid v Villareal - 2-1
6.00 Montreal v Cincinnati - 1-2
8.30 Portland v LA Galaxy - 3-0Tomorrow early morning
12.30am New York City v Columbus - 1-2
2.00am Houston v Vancouver - 2-1
3.30am Los Angeles v Colorado - 2-1Will see what we get matched on probably some Bundesliga games will wait in play.
Will post my results so far at the end of the month3.84 points
-
Lay U1.5 - Sat 22.5.21
2.30 Bayern v Augsburg
2.30 Dortmund v Leverkusen
2.30 Koln v Schalke
2.30 Hoffenheim v Herta Berlin
2.30 Wolfsburg v Mainz
5.00 Real Madrid v Villareal
6.00 Montreal v Cincinnati
8.30 Portland v LA GalaxyTomorrow early morning
12.30am New York City v Columbus
2.00am Houston v Vancouver
3.30am Los Angeles v ColoradoWill see what we get matched on probably some Bundesliga games will wait in play.
Will post my results so far at the end of the month -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Fri 21.5.21
Results
7.30 Servette v St Gallen - Goal too early
6.00am tomorrow morning J League Sapporo v Shimizu ( this one on the edge of my filter but will take a chance) - 2-00.98 points
-
Lay U1.5 - Fri 21.5.21
7.30 Servette v St Gallen
6.00am tomorrow morning J League Sapporo v Shimizu ( this one on the edge of my filter but will take a chance) -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Thurs 20.5.21
Results
5.30 Malmo v Elfsborg - 2-1
7.30 Rosenborg v Brann - 3-2
8.30 Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo - 4-12.94 points
-
Lay U1.5 - Thurs 20.5.21
5.30 Malmo v Elfsborg
7.30 Rosenborg v Brann
8.30 Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo
