2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@martin-futter Nice Monfils shout, Martin
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Monfils started very well!
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@frode-lia Nja
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Trying a lay on Georges @ 1.03, trying to a profit @ 1.07
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@frode-lia yep!! Cracking this is!
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@ryan-carruthers Good green on Pliskova. 2-1. Last one matched @ 1.1 and out @ 1.39
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Manic Monday sheets!
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Also it didn’t quite make my lays because the price was too high but I think Monfis looks a good price against Anderson. Based on the stats and the elo probability this would be a pick ‘em slightly favouring Monfis, but his price is currently 2.2 which looks slightly high based on this. So due to the strength of the stats I think i’ll add Anderson to my lays.
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3 lays today:
Djokovic
Nadal
Raonic -
@ryan-carruthers said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Anybody used any of the filters on the tennis stats with the set betting on Betfair - I'm thinking there is defo a way to trade/set and forget those with the forecast as well.
those markets are rarely liquid, maybe in slam televised matches but always struggled to find angles due to low liquidity
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@damon-heslop said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Foggers looks too short against Vesely. SP ought to be nearer 1.8. Vesely actually has the superior PJH. Unfortunately the match is on whilst England are playing, so I've just done an outright lay at 1.59. With both players' PJHs being below the ATP grass mean, it looks set to be a break-fest...
outstanding shout!
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@ryan-carruthers very true, just need to keep going and then sure data will speak for itself
I’m going to take a look back at results of these matches during the FO and Wimbledon so far too as feels like a lot of them go to at least 4 sets so may be an angle to back the overs at slams. Might be nothing in it but worth a look. Brain non stops ticking haha!!
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@simon it’s a tricky one, I left Rafa out of some of my trades this week, went back through it would of been profitable.
The system will always produce losers, if we can stand them longer term then we defo have to try I think. There’s always an upset, the more data we collect too the more granular after that we can filter
so in a few weeks it might be glaring us in the face oh we don’t lay this player etc.... -
@ryan-carruthers 2 our of 3 today
Been blindly following the stats on these but going to try and tighten the selections up a bit as feel like laying Nadal Vs De Minaur is just throwing money away.
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WS1 LNG
Category Tournament Date Player 1 Player 2 WS1 LNG WS1LN2G
Atp - Singles Wimbledon 07/07/2018 16:30:00 Edmund K. Djokovic N. 50 10WTA - PJH
Category Tournament Date Player 1 Player 2 P1 PJH P2 PJH Difference
Wta - Singles Wimbledon 07/07/2018 13:00:00 Ostapenko J. Diatchenko V. 54.7 58.7 -4
Wta - Singles Wimbledon 07/07/2018 13:30:00 Gavrilova D. Sasnovich A. 59.12 62.35 -3 -
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@simon I think these will serve us well today!
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Today’s lays:
Nadal
Fognini
Khachanov
