The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@alan-steward Can we get you over to do our bathroom when you’re finished?

[A Former User]

Busy with DIY again... Will hopefully be back later if not too busy

[A Former User]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Layed u1.5 FHG in Frontale match... Should scratch in SH if stays 1-0

Layed 1-0, 1-1 & 2-0 in CS Market... Any 2 goals to scratch FHG red

Scratched that one... Maybe a tad too hasty for 2 FHG

[A Former User]

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG nagoya vs kashima 0-1 52 mins

GOAL! 0-2, lovely price too

[A Former User]

@darri Boom 0-2 nice one. Right before lunch

[A Former User]

SHG nagoya vs kashima 0-1 52 mins

[A Former User]

@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG brisbane vs ccm 0-0 55 mins

How there wasnt a goal there i dont know, but all part of the joy of trading, fair few on tonight so will hopefully try correct this one

[A Former User]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Layed u1.5 FHG in Frontale match... Should scratch in SH if stays 1-0

Layed 1-0, 1-1 & 2-0 in CS Market... Any 2 goals to scratch FHG red

[A Former User]

Layed u1.5 FHG in Frontale match... Should scratch in SH if stays 1-0

[A Former User]

SHG brisbane vs ccm 0-0 55 mins

[A Former User]

@keith-anderson Previous round of games most French second tier were scoring goals for fun... Unless my memory fails me

*8 from 10 games were o1.5 or more... Excellent value when picking the right games in this league... It can have goals but inconsistent to what team... If that makes sense

[A Former User]

@Martin ... Updated the list as there are still plenty of games in there, see conversion rates bottom of the post

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays SHG Watchlist... Updated!

There's a lot of games here today, If you feel like trading ensure you're happy with IPS @ HT... Minimum stats are 45 dangerous attacks and 3 SONT per goal, with these No's you should see a decent amount of SOFFT & corners

HORN v KAPFENBERG
LAZIO v PARMA
SASSUOLO v JUVENTUS
KAWASAKI FRONTALE v VEGALTA SENDAI
CAMBUUR v BREDA
FC VOLENDAM v JONG AZ
GRAAFSCHAP v HELMOND
ALMERE CITY v JONG PSV
EINDHOVEN FC v JONG UTRECHT
TELSTAR v JONG AJAX

I trade manually without queuing as below

Odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on

Odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals

However for a straight LCS on 59mins Betfair time these games based on a score prediction & avg o2.5 goal odds convert at

1 SHG = 92%
SHG Post 59mins = 90%

[Akiva Anderson]

Laying Under 1.5 Goals:

17:30 - BK Hacken v Orebro
18:00 - Sevilla v Valencia
18:00 - Toulouse v Pau
20:15 - Chelsea v Arsenal
21:00 - Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad

Today’s list includes teams I’m not comfortable with! For example, Atletico Madrid don’t score much. Chelsea don’t concede much. Not really sure about the French Ligue 2.

Maybe I just have a negative mindset today? Anyway, here they are. Fingers crossed

[A Former User]

@martin Yes mate... All based on avg o2.5 goal odds at 1.61 or lower... Am still posting end of season games as the others are but I am concerned re anything to play for... Although only a couple of games yesterday I'm getting more excited about my new Football Ratings project, plus it's all in-house BTC filtered

P.s. Did I mention we're back in the Premier League OTBC

[Martin]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays SHG Watchlist

There's a lot of games here today, If you feel like trading ensure you're happy with IPS @ HT... Minimum stats are 45 dangerous attacks and 3 SONT per goal, with these No's you should see a decent amount of SOFFT & corners

LAFNITZ v WACKER INNSBRUCK
LIEFERING v A. KLAGENFURT
ATALANTA v BENEVENTO
LAZIO v PARMA
KAWASAKI FRONTALE v VEGALTA SENDAI
CAMBUUR v BREDA
FC VOLENDAM v JONG AZ
GRAAFSCHAP v HELMOND
ZURICH v ST. GALLEN
MAASTRICHT v DEN BOSCH
HORN v KAPFENBERG
SASSUOLO v JUVENTUS
ALMERE CITY v JONG PSV
EINDHOVEN FC v JONG UTRECHT
TELSTAR v JONG AJAX

I trade manually without queuing as below

Odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on

Odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals

now that's a list!

[Ryan]

My list for today!

HT LTD / HT LCS

Graafschap v Helmond
Telstar v Jong Ajax
Sion v Luzern
Salzburg v Rapid Vienna
Lazio v Parma

[A Former User]

Todays games... These games are taken from a new project I'm working on with the Football Ratings Page... The Fireball o1.5 trades are on

[A Former User]

Todays SHG Watchlist... Updated!

There's a lot of games here today, If you feel like trading ensure you're happy with IPS @ HT... Minimum stats are 45 dangerous attacks and 3 SONT per goal, with these No's you should see a decent amount of SOFFT & corners

HORN v KAPFENBERG
LAZIO v PARMA
SASSUOLO v JUVENTUS
KAWASAKI FRONTALE v VEGALTA SENDAI
CAMBUUR v BREDA
FC VOLENDAM v JONG AZ
GRAAFSCHAP v HELMOND
ALMERE CITY v JONG PSV
EINDHOVEN FC v JONG UTRECHT
TELSTAR v JONG AJAX

I trade manually without queuing as below

Odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on

Odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals

However for a straight LCS on 59mins Betfair time these games based on a score prediction & avg o2.5 goal odds convert at

1 SHG = 92%
SHG Post 59mins = 90%

[A Former User]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays games... Not too many games today, these games are taken from a new project I'm working on with the Football Ratings Page... The Fireball o1.5 trades are on

As soon as I can find a way to automate results to the Spreadsheet I will upload it in my signature, I have the results but need to find a way to automate from one spreadsheet to another.

As posted below, was too busy to trade last night but should have produced some decent green

[A Former User]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Todays SHG Watchlist

If IPS looks good & Score Line is either 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1

11/5/2021 BASEL LUGANO... SHG Times 0
11/5/2021 BESIKTAS KARAGUMRUK... SHG Times 54 & 80mins
11/5/2021 LEVANTE BARCELONA... SHG Times 59,57,64,83
11/5/2021 AARAU KRIENS... SHG Times 47,59,66,87

I trade manually but without queuing as below... Queuing might make things easier.

Current HT LCS odds 6.2 or less queue LCS at odds 4.0 if early goal move on

Current HT LCS odds over 6.2 at HT back plus 2 goals for 0.25pts queue 0.25pts plus 2 goals 1 whole pt on HT... Lay CS at 1.98 if no goal... Trade out, remove red if only 1 part matched, take green if 2 parts matched, let run if 1.98 lay is matched for 2 late goals

@Keith-Anderson Sorry but overall o1.5 may not be up to your stats (circa 83% from 72 games)

Min 1 SHG 89%
SHG post 59mins Betfair time 81%

Small sample set but selections from raw data that would show similar results to previous 12 months

Was too busy to trade last night, was in the forum later in the evening but looking at the results above laying all games on 59mins (catch 60mins plus) would have prob been small red/scratch