The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@alastair-todd Whether you lay the current score, lay the next unders or back the next overs doesn’t matter too much. Personally I prefer to have a fixed liability so I will back the next overs whereas if you wanted a fixed ‘to win’ amount then easier to lay. Doesn’t make much difference really
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SHG malmo vs varbergs 1-1 SH just started
SHG west ham vs everton 0-1 same as above -
@alastair-todd sometimes a good idea when in a trading window and your eyeing a game to not be on the forum. Wait until you have placed your trade to then come on. Its what i do. That way you dont get tempted or lured away from your own strategy. Obviously over time you then dont need that as your secure in what you are doing. Remember really easy to create a good strategy, its how we manage it and ourselves that is the difference.
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@alastair-todd find out what suits you, id say probably within your current results a lot of those game will be horrendously small odds at HT so are probably flattering the s/r% so it wouldnt be 65% @1.3 you really have to find out the % of the games that are of decent odds. Dont succumb to fomo just because a few guys have posted before you and you feel like you have missed out. If your entering later you have more wiggle room to be wrong long term. Iv just built a very good understanding that this game was a good one for that entry time. For me id build a filter that focusses either on early entry or late entry. Your gonna have to go track to find out that answer mate. Just dont worry if people are posting sae games your looking at, imagine this game went to say 65 mins no goal and your then getting on at better prices, it all balances out mate.
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@alastair-todd if you took 1.3 at over 85% strike rate you would be making money
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Just Roma v Crotone left from my SHG list today depending on HT score and IPS... Roma will want the win and will prob be a decent shout for FHG if you fancy the IPS
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Going in on Willem v PSV at 1.58
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Are you guys, that have already won their trade on the SHG in the PSV match, laying the current score rather than backing the next goal? I would say over 85% of my filtered games have a SHG but a lot of them (like this one) come so early that the back odds on the next goal are still only about 1.3 - too skinny for me. On the other hand I don't want to commit 3-4 points liability to win 1 point by laying the current score. Do I just have to suck it up and hope the back odds have a chance to get better before the goal comes in? (well done on the win by the way!)
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Would anyone describe the randers v agf game as being nothing to play for?
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@darri said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG willem vs psv 0-1 HT (to win 1pt)
GOAL! 0-2 nice and easy this one
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SHG Willem ll
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@lee-woodman lol, didn't have Lausanne but Willem ll is on my list
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward I’m on this too. Also Lausanne. Both from 60’ onwards
Both winners. On Willem shortly, again looking at entering from 60’
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SHG willem vs psv 0-1 HT (to win 1pt)
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Inspired by a few on here i will be starting my own thread / blog for my trading journey (when i get a bit of time). In the mean time i will be posting my selections which will be from my own strategies which i will explain a bit more when i start
Currently doing a SHG Eintracht v Mainz currently 0-11-1
Good result mate
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@alan-steward I’m on this too. Also Lausanne. Both from 60’ onwards
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SHG Luzern... HT 0-0
