Ryan's Tennis Trading 13th August
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Tennis
Value Trade
Looking at the forecast on Marterer v Klahn it highlighted a few things to me that I had to delve deeper, Klahn's odds to win this are a huge 1.82 and his stats on the forecast are much better than his opponents. I rang the stats through my value sheet to see where it should be and Klahn according to my sheet should be 1.47 (remember I do these trades in S1).
Looking at how these two play as well gives more weight to this value as well with Klahn doing well in the H2H, it is tied at 1-1 but on the one Klahn lost he played well in S1 forcing a TB. So for me, I will let them both have a serve and if they both hold I will back Klahn and trade out towards the end of S1 - as I think he will take S1.
Back Fav on Serve (Rules Inc)
Category
Tournament
Date
Player 1
Player 2
P1 Odds
P2 Odds
Notes
Atp - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 16:00:00
Gojowczyk P.
Sousa J.
2.68
1.59
Back bold player on serve score 0-30/15-40
Atp - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 19:00:00
Marterer M.
Klahn B.
2.22
1.82
Back bold player on serve score 0-30/15-40
Atp - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 19:00:00
Ferrer D.
Paire B.
2.28
1.79
Back bold player on serve score 0-30/15-40
Frode's PJH - WTA
Frode's (one of the members) shared his process on the forum for 3 difference in the PJH (projected hold) then when a break down back them (full rules on the forum). I have added colours to the difference & matched that the to player for ease for everybody! NB green is P1, red is P2.
Category
Tournament
Date
Player 1
Player 2
P1 PJH
P2 PJH
Difference
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 15:00:00
Osaka N.
Makarova E.
64.75
59.32
5.43
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 15:00:00
Williams V.
Sakkari M.
58.98
62.46
-3.48
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 16:00:00
Kontaveit A.
Strycova B.
59.51
63.97
-4.46
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 16:00:00
Azarenka V.
Suarez Navarro C.
56.22
62.23
-6.01
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 17:30:00
Mattek-Sands B.
Keys M.
61.61
68.63
-7.02
Wta - Singles
Cincinnati
13/08/2018 20:30:00
Konta J.
Sabalenka A.
65.28
62.11
3.17
