Football Stats Testing 12th August
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So with 25% of the games going under 2.5 goals it looked a tough day but from a trading perspective it was another good day, 75% of the games were tradeable for a sizable profit due to many of the losing games being 0-0 at HT or only 1 or 2 goals scored late in the game. There were a lot of late goals.
With only 3/12 games going under 2.5 yesterday the outright testing took a hit but interestingly the trading testing still hovered close to the trends so far.
I'm going to adjust the filter to show only current season and minimum of 10 games which will mean a lot less qualifiers until the European seasons kick in properly. Let's see if it refines things for the good!
Today's selections:
Korea Ulsan v Suwon Brazil Atletico MG v Santos Finland Rovan v Mariehamn -
@Martin-Futter such good intel and great work looking for an angel . def follow with interest i'll likely set and offset with green around 30-40 ticks or so
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@conor-swanston yes I am assuming around 80% here to continue, ideally for 3 months before determining what trade % to go for on these. This is also expecting that we let the trade run if we cannot take a green, if you are willing to take a red then those calculations get a lot more complicated!
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@nathan-bennett when I removed the games where teams had not played 10 games that season the % of matches where a good green was available went to 91% (63% won outright). Testing a few filters at the moment and they all seem to be close to 80% or above in that regard. Guess this is why we trade and don't just let every bet run.
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@martin-futter said in Football Stats Testing 12th August:
@nathan-bennett great day yesterday, had one at midnight too I forgot to add as it was technically played today. would give it more time yet but if it strikes at 78% then I would want at least 33% profit a trade target, maybe even 40+
Morning Martin, going by the above you would use your strike rate to determine your profit. If your strike rate increases or decreases do you then amend your profit per trade to match the current strike rate?
Thanks
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@Martin-Futter yep genius stuff !
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@nathan-bennett great day yesterday, had one at midnight too I forgot to add as it was technically played today. would give it more time yet but if it strikes at 78% then I would want at least 33% profit a trade target, maybe even 40+
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@Martin-Futter what would you consider sizeable profit 20-40-60% ? these intrigue me . being other side world might set up a bot with an offset at a % or minute mark . cheers … all good i'll figure out ha
