Football Stats Testing 11th August
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4/5 went under 2.5 goals yesterday for a nice profit, the only loser had an early red card to the away side so maybe even that would have won given a more level playing field.
I have been working on a very basic filter designed to find low scoring games. The intention being to be able to trade out for a healthy profit most of the time.
So far with only 23 games tested 61% have had under 2.5 goals for a 5.2pt profit to 1pt stakes. More interestingly of these games 79% have been very good trades meaning a healthy profit could have been taken during the game (either at 22mins, HT, 67 mins or 80mins). BTTS No and Under 1.5 are also in profit at the moment but too early days to draw any concrete conclusions. Minimum under 2.5 goals odds are 1.80+ for selections to qualify.
Early days of course but I thought I would share today's picks (all projected to be or are already1.8 or above at time of checking):
11th Aug Germany Arminia v Dresden England Doncaster v Wycombe Poland Drutex v Stal England Stoke v Brentford Scotland Partick v Falkirk England Bolton v Bristol C England Carlisle v Northampton England Rochdale v Peterboro England Swansea v Preston England Yeovil v Mansfield Poland Pod v Gar Swiss Lugano v Grass -
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I do like a low scoring game, good to scalp the Under’s just after a goal goes in
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tidy work yday @Martin-Futter no biggie but cant source the Poland games . looking forward to following these
