England v Croatia Stats Preview
-
Anyone else fed up of every Tom, Dick and Harry saying 'It's coming home!'. Especially those people who couldn't give a monkeys about footie a month ago? Anyway, massive game tonight so let's see what our stats software has thrown up for us! https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/statistics?advagg=0
England v Croatia - Stats Trends That Stand Out
Correct Score
- In their last 11 games 3 have ended 1-1 at full time
- In the knockout stages so far 3/4 games have been 1-1 at FT
- 1-1 is 7.2 on the exchanges suggesting a 14% chance of it
- Trends are showing this is much close to 25%-33% chance making 7.2 a potentially value price
Over/Under
- In their last 11 games 10 have been over 1.5 goals
- All 4 of their knockout games have been over 1.5 goals, 5/6 of group games were also overs
- Over 1.5 goals is 1.61 on the exchanges suggesting a 62% chance of over 1.5 goals
- Trends suggest this should be closer to 1.33 with around 75%+ chance of happening
- Therefore 1.61 could be a value price
Whatever happens let's hope England get through! See you on the other side!