Trading Notes 21st June
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Queens Championships London -
Nick Kyrgios v Kyle Edmund:
Massive match today between this generation's John McEnroe and Britain's new great hope. Those who follow the tennis thread will already be in a good position on this one as Edmund was 2.66 yesterday when we said he was too big a price. He is now trading at 2.54 but this still looks a good price all things considered.
Keys to the match:
- Kyrgios looked injured towards the end of his last match vs Murray he has had a lot of time off injured in the least year.
- Kyrgios played doubles late last night
- Edmund has not got a great record on grass
- Edmund will be keen to impress his home crowd here
- Kyrgios is an ace machine but often hits second serves as hard as first which can be very dangerous
- If Edmund can get Kyrgios moving all around the court I think Edmund will win.
Kyrgios is very tough to predict but if he still looks lethargic and his head drops then 2.5+ on Edmund is a very appealing price. Kyrgios does not like to run and with Edmund's big hitting style he could get Kyrgios on the move more than Murray was able to. There were times v Murray that Kyrgios just gave up on points if he felt he had to work too hard for it. Now Kyrgios could turn up a totally different player here so watching the start will be absolutely crucial before getting involved and I certainly would not hang around too long once the odds went my way, greening out when a good profit is available. If you do get in and Kyrgios does start looking like the player he can potentially be on grass then by all means feel free to get out for a small loss. Just be aware that even if this does happen Kyrgios could have a moment that effects him mentally and causes a serious dip in play, watch for this and if you spot something like this lay him if he is odds on. I actually think Edmund is a more complete player in terms of all round ability as he has a much better backhand than Kyrgios and his other shots are comparable.
