Trading Notes 21st May
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Well done to Inter who won an enthralling match away to Lazio to secure champions league football despite being 2-1 down after 75mins.
I have some tennis observations from last week that may be of help.
Noticed this week more than a lot of weeks how scheduling can hurt player's chances. Especially when the whole tournament is played in just one week, like masters series are.
For example Halep plays a really tough match Saturday night against Sharapova, then has to play the final at midday on Sunday. That was around 14 hrs rest, she was comfortably beaten. Her opponent Svitolina played early Saturday.
Djokovic has a tough 3 set match on Friday night against Nishikori, then has to play Nadal at around 2pm on Saturday, again well under a day rest. Loses in straight sets. Nadal played early Friday morning.
Finally,
Zverev plays a tough 2 set match v Cilic really late Saturday night, then has to play Nadal at 3pm the next day. Again well under a days rest (at 21 he almost got away with it).
The point is top sportsmen and women need rest and less than a day gives the body no chance of a decent recovery.
How to take advantage of this?
If the player who may be fatigued can muster up the adrenaline to get ahead early you may be able to lay them at short prices. Zverev went to at least 1.6 vs Nadal and Halep was available well above evens to beat Sharapova in play.
Svitolina's win v Halep was a little different as Halep never got that adrenaline boost but being the world number one meant Halep was still available to lay at close to evens after her slow start.
Anyway, worth keeping an eye on when trading tennis. Some players time on court and time they last played can be a huge advantage over their opponent. I will leave you with this:
Sharapova time on court to reach semi-finals - 9hr45mins
Halep time on court to reach semi-finals - 2hr15mins
