Trading Notes 13th May
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Value prices:
Turkey Super League -
Osmanlispor v Besiktas
Osmanlispor odds on Betfair 4.6, Martin's true odds 3.8
Key stats:
- Osmalispor have won 6 drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 13 home games
- Besiktas have won 5 drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 14 away games
- Both teams have the same points when comparing home vs away form (Osman home and Besiktas away)
- Osman fighting for their lives
- Besiktas don't have a lot to play for as they are pretty much only guaranteed Europa league football now
This is purely an odds play as I am well aware Besiktas could win by three or four goals here. Their form away from home has been erratic and 1.7 is not a price that would interest me here. Osman should be up for this needing a result to get out of the relegation zone. THIS IS A MUST WATCH first few minutes, I cannot stress this enough, if Besiktas are well on top from the start or really at any point in the trade abort. Osman have a few injuries and if they settle well at the start a back of them draw not bet or lay of Besiktas would be a good play. Laying Besiktas a goal up at super short odds also makes sense. If you get into a decent green position take it!
