Trading Notes 29th April
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Overpriced teams:
Mainz v Leipzig -
Leipzig Betfair odds 2.1, Martin's odds 2.5
- Mainz average 1.4 points at home compared to Leipzig's 1.27 away from home
- Mainz fighting for their lives
- Leipzig fighting for European qualification
- Leipzig have won 33% of their away games
- Mainz have lost 40% of their home games
Both teams should be bang up for this and I do give a slight edge to Leipzig based on their league position and the fact they are now out of Europe and can concentrate on the league. That said I still think they are overpriced at clost to evens. Leipzig lost 5-2 at home last time out and given their poor away form I think if Mainz look like they can go toe to toe with Leipzig, then Mainz can pick something up from this game. Watch the first few minutes and see how the teams are shaping up and if Leipzig look poor they can either be layed at 0-0 or if they go 0-1 up for better odds.
