Trading Notes 22nd April
-
Key trading notes for today:
Arsenal motivation is interesting, do they get behind the manager and have a great performance or are they distracted by a far more important game on Thursday night? If Arsenal look motivated and play well then anything above evens in play could be worth a pop.
Chievo v Inter -
Inter Betfair odds 1.55, my odds 1.8
- Inter love a draw 7 of their 16 away games have been draw
- Inter have 25 points away from home, Chievo have 21 points at home
- Cheivo fighting for their league survival, Inter fighting for top 4 finish
- Chievo not lost in 4 home games
- Inter not won in last 3 away games
Inter are deserving favourites here but the price is a touch short, they are an erratic team. They can win 5-0 away one week then lose the next one away to a low team. As noted in the bullet points there is not a lot in these teams repective home vs away from and 1.55 is not a price I would want to take on Inter. If Inter start sluggishly then lay them, do watch the start though as if they are firing they can win easily. Laying Inter 1-0 up is a good play given how short a lay price it will be.
Juventus v Napoli -
Juventus Betfair odds 2.4, my odds 2.0
- Juventus have won 14 drawn 1 and lost 1 at home this season
- Napoli have won 12 and drawn 4 not losing away this season
- Both fighting for the Serie A title
- Juve have won their last 7 home games
- Napoli have not won in their last 3 away games
It is not often you will get these kinds of odds on Juve at home and the reality is historically they are a club that just gets the job done. Napoli have kept pace with Juve well this season but it has tailed off a bit like last season and they are still a step behind Juve in the big games. Either team can win of course and laying Napoli at 3.7 is tempting but not tempting enough, if Juve start well I like draw no bet at 1.66, they will do everything not to lose so this look as safe a play as I can get here. Lay Napoli if they hit short odds on and Juve show any kind of comeback threat.
