BTC Daily Trading Advice - 17th November
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Time for the World Cup!
Are you excited?
I am but I am mainly excited about trading it!
Ryan and I have talked in length about what strategies we will be using at the World Cup in Episodes 1 & 2 of the Betfair Trading Show, you can find links to those if you have not watched them already here:
Episode 1:
Episode 2:
Remember to subscribe to the channel to get updates on video releases: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCA56xYPA0sMOevWP7J5EyBA
How will I be trading the World Cup matches?
The main strategy I have had success with in the past is backing a first half goal around the 20 minute mark when the match looks lively, especially in the group stages where games tend to be more open that the knock-outs.
Why do I do this?
Well I have found that the markets often do not expect a first half goal in many of these games due to the tighter nature of international football.
So you can often get juicy odds of around or even above evens on a first half goal at 20 mins.
At those odds if a match looks like it is open enough to have a goal in the first half, then it would be rude not to back it!
It's all about value in this spot.
How do I know which matches to enter?
What is the 'Eye Test' telling me? Does the match look likely to have a goal in the next 20-25 minutes?
Have there been a couple of chances early on, is it clear that the teams aren't just playing tight football trying not to concede?
These are the key questions you need to ask in this situation.
I will be aiming to write daily previews on matches during the World Cup, so look forward to more advice in the coming month!
Martin
PS: If you liked the links above to The Betfair Trading Show, then episodes 3 & 4 have just aired
