Trading Notes 2nd April
-
Prices that look wrong (hence the value is in taking it on)
Scunthorpe at 1.9 (True odds should be 2.4) - Both teams on 60pts this season and their home v away record is very similar, plenty to play for and Scunthorpe look short at odds on. (Could lay Scunthorpe, or lay them 1-0 up or back Plymouth draw not bet at good odds)
Cheltenham 2.72 (True odds should be 4.0) - Exeter average 2.05pts at home compared to Cheltenham's 1.05pts away. Exeter chasing promotion so not sure why they are not favourites here. (Could lay Cheltenham, lay them 1-0 up or back Exeter draw not bet at close to evens)
Lay 0-0 or the Draw at HT if 0-0 (5 shots on target and 5 shots off target minimum):
FC Copenhagen v Nordsjaelland
QPR v Norwich
Portsmouth v Wigan
Luton v Mansfield
Crawley v Swindon
Accrington v Notts County
Sutton Utd v Bromley
SV Darnstadt v F Dusseldorf
Luzern v St Gallen
Kayserispor v Fenerbache
