Trading Notes 31st March
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A cracking day yesterday both on the trading notes and the daily football thread. Another feast of football today!
Portugal Primera Liga:
Sporting Braga v Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Betfair odds 2.5, Martin's true odds 2.8
- Braga have won 12 and lost 2 at home this season averaging 2.57 points a game
- Braga have a +1.72 goal difference per game at home
- Lisbon have won 8 drawn 3 and lost 2 away this season
- Lisbon have a +0.85 goal difference away from home this season
Braga are on a great run having won 6 league games on the bounce, winning four on the bounce at home. Lisbon have been in good form too winning 6 of 7, they have lost 2 of their last 4 away games though. Braga have only lost to Benfica and Porto at home this season and I am not sure why they are home underdogs here, the only reason can be Lisbon's reputation. This is a 50/50 call for me and as such I think Lisbon are a touch short today. I prefer the option to lay Lisbon around 2.5 odds if Braga start the match OK, however, the other options are to lay Lisbon a goal up at short odds on or take Braga draw no bet.
Lay the Current Scorline or Draw at HT if 0-0 and minimum of 5 shots on target and 5 shots off target:
Melbourne Victory v Western Sydney
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Atalanta v Udinese
Dijon v Marseille
Hoffenheim v Koln
MSV Duisburg v Kaiserslautern
Willem 2 v Utrecht
Sion v Zurich
Besiktas v Alanyaspor
