EUREKA MOKMENT

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

PROFIT +23.40
B/F +76.20
ACCUM 99.60

MARKET MOVERS

PROFIT -19.40
B/F 60.70
ACCUM +41.30

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe that volume would be giving me nightmares.

One way of cutting it down is to not trade the poor performing leagues. For example your break even strike rate for a strategy is 70%, I wouldn’t trade any league with a strike rate less than the break even point. Still track it and if it improves, add it back in.

[A Former User]

RIGHT i have had a tinkle around the filters a little as the selection process was a tad long winded and too many selections so i have filtered the following
All todays matches under 3.5 with betfair odds over 1.4
All Matches above with head to head with a greater than 60% less than 3.5

and heres todays selections

i was kicking myself last night as i forgot to post up a market move that won it was the udinese match but i wont count it but they won heres todays

MARKET MOVERS

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe
That was hard work dread to think how many bets are available today but bottom line is they made profit

Total today +40.90
b/f +35.30
Total 76.20

MARKET MOVERS
B/F 60.70

ALL THE BEST DEAN

i will play around with the filters over the next few days to see if anything shines a light to try and narrow the bets down a littel

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe
Finally caught up rest of todays

[A Former User]

This post is deleted!

[A Former User]

@keith The bets are placed on betfair and sportsbook the prices on the left are the correct prices at time of posting these are the ones i take
the prices on the right are what they should be according to league table results using the stats
i.e if there have been say 100 games played and 75 are under 3.5 then that would result in a 75% chance of returning a game under 3.5 convert to odds =(1/74)x100 =odds of 1.35 hope that makes it clearer

dean

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe hi Dean, read back on a previous post that your paying 5% commission, the lowest commission rate assuming your in the UK is 2%?

[A Former User]

Hi Dean

Thanks for sharing your eureka moment! Can you confirm which market you are placing these bets on? I see the home/away ones but the ones in the other table?

Cheers
Keith

[Dan MacKinnon]

@dean-thorpe haha! Yeah, I've fallen trap to that before. Best to wait until the weekend before you say there are no selections

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

OH MY WORD what was i saying about not many selections these are the ones up until 7pm uk time think its time to get old bet angel out

ill post the rest later on toady lets see how they get on

[A Former User]

So to make things easier as there is not many selections i have started doing these at 10 pounds a go i will leave the betfair commission as evryones can be different but just remember the 5% off these totals

Total 6/6
profit +35.30
ACCUM +35.30

MARKET MOVERS

ACCUM +60.70

Could be the golden goose

onwards and upwards

[A Former User]

Late notifcation on the market mover