Trading Notes 9th March
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Hooray for the weekend! Hope we keep this great run going!
Lay the draw or the current scoreline at HT if 0-0. (Strategy is below the picks)
Selections:
Italy: Roma v Torino
Germany: Mainz v Schalke
France: Reims v Chateauroux, AC Ajaccio v Quevilly
Turkey: Alanyaspor v Basaksehir
Set and forget strategy: For those who cannot trade inplay - Lay under 0.5 goals at the same odds that under 1.5 goals are prematch. So if under 1.5 goals is 4.0 prematch lay under 0.5 goals at 4.0 and select keep in play (this is a good way to predict the HT odds). If the 1.5 market is not fully liquid but still fairly liquid (say back column is 3.5 and lay column is 4.0) then lay the midpoint (in this case 3.75).
Prematch and Inplay Strategy (Less selections but had a very good strike rate this year) - Including in play stats rules: 5+ shots on target, 5+ shots off target and 5+ corners. You can combine the shots on target with off to make 10 but you must have at least 5 on target. So, for example, 10 on target and 0 off target would qualify but 0 on target and 10 off would not. I will try not to include games where SH goal odds will be ridiculously low.
