Trading Notes 23rd Feb
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Football:
Nothing today, looking forward to the full weekend's card starting tomorrow!
Tennis:
ATP Marseille Indoor Hard Courts
Nicolas Mahut v Ilya Ivashka
Betfair odds: Mahut 1.66
Martin's odds: Mahut 1.5
- Mahut playing at home has impressed this week beating rising start Stefanos Tsitsipas and big serving world No. 28 Gilles Muller
- Mahut has only lost to Tsonga and Goffin on indoor hard this year winning his other 5 matches
- Mahut is ranked 93 places above Ivashka
- Ivashka is having a break out tournament but was aided by an injured Wawrinka withdrawing yesterday
- Ivashka's highest non retirement win in the last year was against the world number 90 this week
Mahut should be a too much for Ivashka today, I have him as the value player here. There is a danger Ivashka continues his break out week if Mahut has an off day but if Mahut looks motivated then it is hard to bet against him here. I think the market has overreacted to Ivashka's win over an out of sorts injured Wawrinka.
Cricket:
Weekend Previews
South Africa v India - 4pm 24th Feb, Cape Town, T20
- South Africa failed to defend 169 here last time a T20 was played in Cape Town
- SA failed badly to chase 303 in the 50 over game played here v India getting bowled out for 179
- Not much data here scorewise to make many predictions on high or low but you expect 180+ to be the target
- Series tied at 1-1 after SA chased 180+ with ease last time out
New Zealand v England - 1am 25th Feb, Hamilton, ODI 50 overs
- Only played one 50 over ODI in the least two and a half years
- Winning scores in England were always over 300
- Strong batting line ups face weak bowling line ups again
- NZ chased 263 with ease here in January vs a decent bowling side in Pakistan
- Last three chasing teams have won with ease chasing under 300
- Potentially a high scoring classic here, chasers will fancy chasing a big total
