Trading Advice Saturday 23rd December
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Martin's football trading notes, please refer to the thread on the forum for my strategy on these:
Premier League -
Burnley 7.0 v Spurs 1.59
These odds shocked me at first glance, an out of sorts Spurs team playing one of the strongest sides in the league at present. Given that Spurs have lost 3 of their last 4 away games as opposed to Burnley winning 3 of their last 4 that makes the odds seem even more out of sync with reality. Sure I would have Spurs as favourites but evens would be too short in my book let alone heavy odds on. Lay Spurs if Burnley start with their usual solidity, you can back Burnley draw no bet or lay Spurs 1-0 if you want less liability.
Championship -
Derby County 1.92 v Millwall 4.8
Derby average 2pts a game at home as opposed to Millwall's 0.55pts away from home. Millwall have not won away from home all season and Derby have won 3 of their last 4. I think 1.92 is value on Derby and will take the draw no bet price if Derby start well. If Millwall take a lead they will be very layable between 2-2.5 odds or below.
