BTC Daily Trading Advice - 20th June
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Be very weary of the leagues that have restarted, these aren't normal seasons now so we should be extra careful when trading any of these games. Inplay stats will be imperative!
Avoid going for goals in leagues that teams only have a couple of games left each, unless both teams need the win.
Football Selections:
Strong team come back system (The stronger rated team is indicated as either the home or away team in the table below.) - Lay the underdog if they take the lead and trade below 11.0. We lay 1% of bank at 1.01-3.5 odds, 0.6% of bank at 3.6-7.4 odds and 0.4% at 7.4-11.0 odds. Green up if the stronger team gets level or wait until they take the lead. If drawing at 70 mins take the profit regardless. I let them run if no goal.
20/06/20 13:00 Germany 3. Liga Home Mannheim v Sonnenhof Grossaspach 20/06/20 16:00 Belarus Vysshaya Liga Home Brest v Gorodeja 20/06/20 18:00 Turkey 1. Lig Home Erzurum BB v Eskisehirspor 20/06/20 18:30 Spain Laliga Home Getafe v Eibar 20/06/20 18:30 Greece Super League Home PAOK v OFI Crete 20/06/20 19:25 Austria 2. Liga Away BW Linz v FC Juniors 20/06/20 19:30 Greece Super League Home AEK Athens FC v Aris 20/06/20 21:00 Spain Laliga Home Atl. Madrid v Valladolid https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-dog-richards-elo-ratings-lays
***Important - Use inplay stats to back up your trades for best results, we want to see goalmouth action! If a game is dead wait and see if it livens up before entering or leave it alone. Don't overstake if you try and do multiple strategies on one game.***
Ryan's Betgreen: Lay the draw at KO green up if fav scores, if dog scores reassess and cut bait if need be. Take a loss if draw odds hit 2.0 around 70mins.
None today
Ryan's Split Stake: Back over 1.5 goals on 30mins if 0-0, double your stake at 50 mins if still 0-0, take a loss of 70mins if no goal, if there is a goal before that green up!
Denmark Superliga 20/06/2020 12:00:00 Horsens Randers FC Austria Tipico Bundesliga 20/06/2020 16:00:00 Mattersburg St. Polten Austria Tipico Bundesliga 20/06/2020 16:00:00 Altach Admira Austria Tipico Bundesliga 20/06/2020 16:00:00 Wattens Austria Vienna Denmark Superliga 20/06/2020 17:00:00 Aalborg Nordsjaelland Switzerland Challenge League 20/06/2020 17:15:00 Lausanne Ouchy Chiasso Austria 2. Liga 20/06/2020 19:25:00 BW Linz FC Juniors Switzerland Super League 20/06/2020 19:30:00 Sion St. Gallen First half goal Filter - Frode's adapted: (I FHG split stake these 25% on 21mins, 29mins, 34 mins and 39mins)
Denmark Superliga 20/06/2020 12:00:00 Horsens Randers FC Denmark 1st Division 20/06/2020 14:00:00 F. Amager Skive Austria Tipico Bundesliga 20/06/2020 16:00:00 Altach Admira Denmark Superliga 20/06/2020 17:00:00 Aalborg Nordsjaelland Switzerland Super League 20/06/2020 19:30:00 Sion St. Gallen Back a late goal split stake when scoreline is drawing - 34% of stake at 64mins, 33% at 74mins and 33% at 84mins. Min odds: 1.5
Denmark 1st Division 20/06/2020 14:00:00 F. Amager Skive Czech Republic 1. Liga 20/06/2020 16:30:00 Sparta Prague Liberec Switzerland Super League 20/06/2020 19:30:00 Sion St. Gallen https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/late-goal-split-stake-only-when-drawing
Horse Racing:
Today's Lay the Field Shortlist - These races could fit the parameters make sure they do before trading! (Lay the field inrunning I'm testing odds and 2.02 is the best performer currently but you can try others if you wish. 7 furlong distance only, fav must be 4.0+, 4+ horses at 11.0 odds or below and 9+ runners. At least 50k matched before off)
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-field
2.15pm - Newmarket
6.55pm - Kempton
