BTC Daily Trading Advice - 19th June
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Be very weary of the leagues that have restarted, these aren't normal seasons now so we should be extra careful when trading any of these games. Inplay stats will be imperative!
Avoid going for goals in leagues that teams only have a couple of games left each, unless both teams need the win.
Football Selections:
Strong team come back system (The stronger rated team is indicated as either the home or away team in the table below.) - Lay the underdog if they take the lead and trade below 11.0. We lay 1% of bank at 1.01-3.5 odds, 0.6% of bank at 3.6-7.4 odds and 0.4% at 7.4-11.0 odds. Green up if the stronger team gets level or wait until they take the lead. If drawing at 70 mins take the profit regardless. I let them run if no goal.
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-dog-richards-elo-ratings-lays
19/06/20 17:00 Poland Ekstraklasa Home Zaglebie v LKS Lodz 19/06/20 17:30 Denmark 1st Division Home Kolding IF v Roskilde 19/06/20 18:00 Turkey 1. Lig Home Giresunspor v Adanaspor AS 19/06/20 19:30 Switzerland Super League Home Young Boys v Zurich ***Important - Use inplay stats to back up your trades for best results, we want to see goalmouth action! If a game is dead wait and see if it livens up before entering or leave it alone. Don't overstake if you try and do multiple strategies on one game.***
Ryan's Betgreen: Lay the draw at KO green up if fav scores, if dog scores reassess and cut bait if need be. Take a loss if draw odds hit 2.0 around 70mins.
None today
Ryan's Split Stake: Back over 1.5 goals on 30mins if 0-0, double your stake at 50 mins if still 0-0, take a loss of 70mins if no goal, if there is a goal before that green up!
Poland Ekstraklasa 19/06/2020 17:00:00 Zaglebie LKS Lodz Switzerland Challenge League 19/06/2020 17:15:00 Wil Lausanne Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Liefering Dornbirn Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Grazer Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Kapfenberg Horn Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Ried FK Austria Vienna Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 19:25:00 A. Lustenau A. Klagenfurt First half goal Filter - Frode's adapted: (I FHG split stake these 25% on 21mins, 29mins, 34 mins and 39mins)
Denmark 1st Division 19/06/2020 18:00:00 Viborg Fredericia Back a late goal split stake when scoreline is drawing - 34% of stake at 64mins, 33% at 74mins and 33% at 84mins. Min odds:
Switzerland Challenge League 19/06/2020 17:15:00 Wil Lausanne Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Ried FK Austria Vienna Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Liefering Dornbirn Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 17:30:00 Kapfenberg Horn Denmark 1st Division 19/06/2020 18:00:00 Viborg Fredericia Spain Laliga 19/06/2020 18:30:00 Granada CF Villarreal Austria 2. Liga 19/06/2020 19:25:00 A. Lustenau A. Klagenfurt https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/late-goal-split-stake-only-when-drawing
Horse Racing:
Today's Lay the Field Shortlist - These races could fit the parameters make sure they do before trading! (Lay the field inrunning I'm testing odds and 2.02 is the best performer currently but you can try others if you wish. 7 furlong distance only, fav must be 4.0+, 4+ horses at 11.0 odds or below and 9+ runners. At least 50k matched before off)
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-field
2pm. 2.35pm Newmarket
