BTC Daily Trading Advice - 18th June
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Be weary of leagues that are midway through but restarting or coming to a close.
If it is the first game back avoid it and see how the team looks as to whether you want to include them in their second game back.
If coming to a close I would not trade a match in a league that a team only had 2-3 games left except for:
1. Both teams are motivated to score (need the points)
2. If laying a team make sure the team you want to win needs the points.
I will try my best to filter the list in this regard as a lot of the losing trades could be avoided if doing this.
Football Selections:
Strong team come back system (The stronger rated team is indicated as either the home or away team in the table below.) - Lay the underdog if they take the lead and trade below 11.0. We lay 1% of bank at 1.01-3.5 odds, 0.6% of bank at 3.6-7.4 odds and 0.4% at 7.4-11.0 odds. Green up if the stronger team gets level or wait until they take the lead. If drawing at 70 mins take the profit regardless. I let them run if no goal.
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-dog-richards-elo-ratings-lays
Both Strong Teams are at Home
Stal Mielec v Olsztyn Sporting v Tondela ***Important - Use inplay stats to back up your trades for best results, we want to see goalmouth action! If a game is dead wait and see if it livens up before entering or leave it alone. Don't overstake if you try and do multiple strategies on one game.***
Ryan's Betgreen: Lay the draw at KO green up if fav scores, if dog scores reassess and cut bait if need be. Take a loss if draw odds hit 2.0 around 70mins.
Spain 18/06/2020 18:30:00 Huesca Mirandes Ryan's Split Stake: Back over 1.5 goals on 30mins if 0-0, double your stake at 50 mins if still 0-0, take a loss of 70mins if no goal, if there is a goal before that green up! https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/btc-over-15-goals-strategy-ryans-split-stake
Czech Republic 18/06/2020 16:00:00 Jihlava Zizkov Czech Republic 18/06/2020 17:00:00 Hradec Kralove Brno Denmark 18/06/2020 17:00:00 Lyngby Silkeborg Spain 18/06/2020 18:30:00 Huesca Mirandes First half goal Filter - Frode's adapted: (I FHG split stake these 25% on 21mins, 29mins, 34 mins and 39mins)
Denmark 18/06/2020 17:00:00 Lyngby Silkeborg Spain 18/06/2020 18:30:00 Huesca Mirandes Back a late goal split stake when scoreline is drawing - 34% of stake at 64mins, 33% at 74mins and 33% at 84mins. Min odds: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/late-goal-split-stake-only-when-drawing
Denmark 18/06/2020 17:00:00 Lyngby Silkeborg Spain 18/06/2020 18:30:00 Huesca Mirandes Denmark 18/06/2020 19:00:00 Midtjylland Brondby Spain 18/06/2020 21:00:00 Real Madrid Valencia Horse Racing:
Today's Lay the Field Shortlist - These races could fit the parameters make sure they do before trading! (Lay the field inrunning I'm testing odds and 2.02 is the best performer currently but you can try others if you wish. 7 furlong distance only, fav must be 4.0+, 4+ horses at 11.0 odds or below and 9+ runners. At least 50k matched before off)
2:05 Newmarkt 7f 6:30 Redcar 7f https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/lay-field
