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BTC Football, Horse and Tennis Picks 18th August

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved BTC Trading Angles
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Horse Lays - Opposing the bad tipsters if SP is 11.0+ do not lay: 

    17:10 TramLADY MOON
    17:00 PontMAGICAL EFFECT
    16:00 PontGLOBAL HUNTER
    15:00 PontCHAMPARISI
    14:20 SthlGAME LINE

    Football - Martin's Lay The Draw At Half-Time: 

    471059SwedenSuperettan18/08/2019 16:30:00BrommapojkarnaOsters
    471130NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 17:00:00ValerengaHaugesund
    470847NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 17:00:00MjondalenBrann
    470941ChilePrimera Division18/08/2019 17:30:00Union La CaleraU. De Chile
    471049BrazilSerie B18/08/2019 20:00:00CRBVitoria
    471144BoliviaDivision Profesional18/08/2019 20:30:00BolivarSan Jose
    470869ParaguayPrimera Division18/08/2019 21:00:00Dep. CapiataGuarani
    470870ParaguayPrimera Division18/08/2019 23:30:00Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate
    471174ColombiaLiga Aguila19/08/2019 02:00:00Dep. CaliInd. Medellin

    Martin's Unders Galore Strategy: I aim to take 25% profit before hedging. 

    471044USAMls18/08/2019 03:00:00Vancouver WhitecapsDC United
    471103JapanJ-league18/08/2019 11:00:00G-OsakaIwata
    471098SwedenAllsvenskan18/08/2019 14:00:00AIKKalmar
    471128NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 15:00:00StabaekKristiansund

    Ryan's Over 1.5 goals Split Stake Strategy: Rules (Only ever enter the trades at 0-0 scoreline) - Split the stake and Back Over 1.5 goals at 30 minutes and 50 minutes - Take profit if goal is scored or a loss if no goal by 75 mins. Make sure stats are strong and goals look likely before entering the trade. 

    470879DenmarkSuperliga18/08/2019 11:00:00SilkeborgSonderjyske
    470863NetherlandsEredivisie18/08/2019 11:15:00SittardWillem II
    471030WalesPremier League18/08/2019 14:30:00TNSCaernarfon
    471060GermanyBundesliga18/08/2019 14:30:00Eintracht FrankfurtHoffenheim
    471076UkrainePremier League18/08/2019 15:00:00Olimpik DonetskKarpaty
    470866NetherlandsEredivisie18/08/2019 15:45:00FeyenoordUtrecht
    471019AustriaTipico Bundesliga18/08/2019 16:00:00Austria ViennaAdmira
    471018AustriaTipico Bundesliga18/08/2019 16:00:00AltachHartberg
    470919Czech Republic1. Liga18/08/2019 16:00:00JablonecMlada Boleslav
    470945EnglandPremier League18/08/2019 16:30:00ChelseaLeicester
    471101SwedenAllsvenskan18/08/2019 16:30:00Malmo FFFalkenbergs
    471082SloveniaPrva Liga18/08/2019 17:00:00MuraRudar
    470882DenmarkSuperliga18/08/2019 17:00:00BrondbyAalborg
    471129NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 17:00:00TromsoLillestrom
    470848NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 17:00:00RanheimMolde
    471062IcelandPepsideild18/08/2019 17:00:00VestmannaeyjarKA Akureyri
    470847NorwayEliteserien18/08/2019 17:00:00MjondalenBrann
    471085UruguayPrimera Division18/08/2019 19:00:00ProgresoDefensor Sp.
    470867NetherlandsEredivisie18/08/2019 19:00:00HeraclesPSV
    471084UruguayPrimera Division18/08/2019 19:00:00Liverpool M.Racing Montevideo
    470916TurkeySuper Lig18/08/2019 19:45:00KasimpasaTrabzonspor
    471212USAMls19/08/2019 03:00:00Portland TimbersAtlanta United

    Tennis - Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before). 

    79721Atp - SinglesWinston-salem18/08/2019 15:00:00Andujar-Alba P.Jarry N.
    79725Atp - SinglesWinston-salem18/08/2019 15:00:00Fabbiano T.Rublev A.
    79728Atp - SinglesWinston-salem18/08/2019 15:00:00Johnson S.Moutet C.
    79735Atp - SinglesCincinnati18/08/2019 21:00:00Medvedev D.Goffin D.

    Any questions ask here: http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/703/btc-daily-email-q-and...   

    Set and Forget Results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UQYxOh-mUHfAm9OByLhzX0ooiQQUqYshfnDJLWRYHUY/edit#gid=1615190530

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #2

    @tim-brugman yes they are what I aim for

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    Ok thanks Martin, i understand.
    But the criteria i described for ht lay the draw and unders galore are correct right?
    And my question about the inplay stats for the over 1.5 goal split stake strategy?
    Or do i have to ask that on a different part of the forum?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4

    @tim-brugman Hi Tim,
    I reset the stats for the new season on football and so I could record strike rates as the problem with odds was people would get in at different prices, so it was impossible to record accurately. Also it meant I could add @Ryan-Carruthers split stake in.

    They have been sent out since last August and did well last season but I wanted a fresh look for this season, see if we can refine it to make it better.

    Again, regarding the P&L as the prices entering and exiting trades are so different for people I haven't bothered trying to 'guess' what they may be as no-one will get the same results.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    Hey Martin,
    I am a member for about a month now, and i joined because of the awesome football stats tool.
    I am happily playing around with it, but in the meantime would like to try out some of the strategy's out of the daily email.
    I am focussing on football for now, and i really enjoy automation. So here are my questions:

    • If i look at the results spreadsheet i see data going back to around the 20th juli, is there more data i can check out somewhere?
      Or have you been back testing these strategy's and only starting sending out these selections around that date?
    • For the ht lay the draw picks do you have data of actual points profit it has made? Or for the unders galore, or over 1.5 goal split stake?
      Just to make sure the rules of the ht lay the draw is to just lay the draw at ht as long as it is a draw?
      The rules for unders galore is back under 2.5 if odds are above 1.8 at KO, and hedge for 25% profit if no goals are scored?

    And this Question is probably for Ryan, I'd like to automate your over 1.5 goals split stake strategy, and with the bot i am using i am able to only bet when certain inplay stats are met. But what would these be? Do you want to see at least x amount of SOT or a certain amount of shots on/off target and corners before you want to bet these selections?

    And my last question, are the strategy filters under member filters in the football stats tool exactly the same as the selections given in the email?

    Thanks in advance for answering my questions guys,

    Tim

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #6

    @andrew-killington back unders at KO aim to trade out for 25% profit, take a loss or let it run up to you if a goal. may have to take Sweden out though!

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #7

    @martin-futter said in BTC Football, Horse and Tennis Picks 18th August:

    Martin's Unders Galore Strategy: I aim to take 25% profit before hedging.

    Martin,can you explain the rules for this please?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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