BTC Football, Horse and Tennis Picks 18th August
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Horse Lays - Opposing the bad tipsters if SP is 11.0+ do not lay:
17:10 Tram LADY MOON 17:00 Pont MAGICAL EFFECT 16:00 Pont GLOBAL HUNTER 15:00 Pont CHAMPARISI 14:20 Sthl GAME LINE Football - Martin's Lay The Draw At Half-Time:
471059 Sweden Superettan 18/08/2019 16:30:00 Brommapojkarna Osters 471130 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Valerenga Haugesund 470847 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Mjondalen Brann 470941 Chile Primera Division 18/08/2019 17:30:00 Union La Calera U. De Chile 471049 Brazil Serie B 18/08/2019 20:00:00 CRB Vitoria 471144 Bolivia Division Profesional 18/08/2019 20:30:00 Bolivar San Jose 470869 Paraguay Primera Division 18/08/2019 21:00:00 Dep. Capiata Guarani 470870 Paraguay Primera Division 18/08/2019 23:30:00 Libertad Asuncion River Plate 471174 Colombia Liga Aguila 19/08/2019 02:00:00 Dep. Cali Ind. Medellin Martin's Unders Galore Strategy: I aim to take 25% profit before hedging.
471044 USA Mls 18/08/2019 03:00:00 Vancouver Whitecaps DC United 471103 Japan J-league 18/08/2019 11:00:00 G-Osaka Iwata 471098 Sweden Allsvenskan 18/08/2019 14:00:00 AIK Kalmar 471128 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 15:00:00 Stabaek Kristiansund Ryan's Over 1.5 goals Split Stake Strategy: Rules (Only ever enter the trades at 0-0 scoreline) - Split the stake and Back Over 1.5 goals at 30 minutes and 50 minutes - Take profit if goal is scored or a loss if no goal by 75 mins. Make sure stats are strong and goals look likely before entering the trade.
470879 Denmark Superliga 18/08/2019 11:00:00 Silkeborg Sonderjyske 470863 Netherlands Eredivisie 18/08/2019 11:15:00 Sittard Willem II 471030 Wales Premier League 18/08/2019 14:30:00 TNS Caernarfon 471060 Germany Bundesliga 18/08/2019 14:30:00 Eintracht Frankfurt Hoffenheim 471076 Ukraine Premier League 18/08/2019 15:00:00 Olimpik Donetsk Karpaty 470866 Netherlands Eredivisie 18/08/2019 15:45:00 Feyenoord Utrecht 471019 Austria Tipico Bundesliga 18/08/2019 16:00:00 Austria Vienna Admira 471018 Austria Tipico Bundesliga 18/08/2019 16:00:00 Altach Hartberg 470919 Czech Republic 1. Liga 18/08/2019 16:00:00 Jablonec Mlada Boleslav 470945 England Premier League 18/08/2019 16:30:00 Chelsea Leicester 471101 Sweden Allsvenskan 18/08/2019 16:30:00 Malmo FF Falkenbergs 471082 Slovenia Prva Liga 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Mura Rudar 470882 Denmark Superliga 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Brondby Aalborg 471129 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Tromso Lillestrom 470848 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Ranheim Molde 471062 Iceland Pepsideild 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Vestmannaeyjar KA Akureyri 470847 Norway Eliteserien 18/08/2019 17:00:00 Mjondalen Brann 471085 Uruguay Primera Division 18/08/2019 19:00:00 Progreso Defensor Sp. 470867 Netherlands Eredivisie 18/08/2019 19:00:00 Heracles PSV 471084 Uruguay Primera Division 18/08/2019 19:00:00 Liverpool M. Racing Montevideo 470916 Turkey Super Lig 18/08/2019 19:45:00 Kasimpasa Trabzonspor 471212 USA Mls 19/08/2019 03:00:00 Portland Timbers Atlanta United Tennis - Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before).
79721 Atp - Singles Winston-salem 18/08/2019 15:00:00 Andujar-Alba P. Jarry N. 79725 Atp - Singles Winston-salem 18/08/2019 15:00:00 Fabbiano T. Rublev A. 79728 Atp - Singles Winston-salem 18/08/2019 15:00:00 Johnson S. Moutet C. 79735 Atp - Singles Cincinnati 18/08/2019 21:00:00 Medvedev D. Goffin D. Any questions ask here: http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/703/btc-daily-email-q-and...
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Ok thanks Martin, i understand.
But the criteria i described for ht lay the draw and unders galore are correct right?
And my question about the inplay stats for the over 1.5 goal split stake strategy?
Or do i have to ask that on a different part of the forum? -
@tim-brugman Hi Tim,
I reset the stats for the new season on football and so I could record strike rates as the problem with odds was people would get in at different prices, so it was impossible to record accurately. Also it meant I could add @Ryan-Carruthers split stake in.They have been sent out since last August and did well last season but I wanted a fresh look for this season, see if we can refine it to make it better.
Again, regarding the P&L as the prices entering and exiting trades are so different for people I haven't bothered trying to 'guess' what they may be as no-one will get the same results.
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Hey Martin,
I am a member for about a month now, and i joined because of the awesome football stats tool.
I am happily playing around with it, but in the meantime would like to try out some of the strategy's out of the daily email.
I am focussing on football for now, and i really enjoy automation. So here are my questions:- If i look at the results spreadsheet i see data going back to around the 20th juli, is there more data i can check out somewhere?
Or have you been back testing these strategy's and only starting sending out these selections around that date? - For the ht lay the draw picks do you have data of actual points profit it has made? Or for the unders galore, or over 1.5 goal split stake?
Just to make sure the rules of the ht lay the draw is to just lay the draw at ht as long as it is a draw?
The rules for unders galore is back under 2.5 if odds are above 1.8 at KO, and hedge for 25% profit if no goals are scored?
And this Question is probably for Ryan, I'd like to automate your over 1.5 goals split stake strategy, and with the bot i am using i am able to only bet when certain inplay stats are met. But what would these be? Do you want to see at least x amount of SOT or a certain amount of shots on/off target and corners before you want to bet these selections?
And my last question, are the strategy filters under member filters in the football stats tool exactly the same as the selections given in the email?
Thanks in advance for answering my questions guys,
Tim
- If i look at the results spreadsheet i see data going back to around the 20th juli, is there more data i can check out somewhere?
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@martin-futter said in BTC Football, Horse and Tennis Picks 18th August:
Martin's Unders Galore Strategy: I aim to take 25% profit before hedging.
Martin,can you explain the rules for this please?