BTC Daily Email Selections 10th May

[Martin]

Weekend longlist - Your next four days of picks covered!

I do not trade leagues that only have 3-4 games left so feel free to ignore those ones. 

Martin's Lay The Draw At Half-Time: Rules - Neither team can be below 2.0 at KO. Green up after a goal or let it run. We prefer lively games and strong stats at HT.

 

Switzerland	Challenge League	10/05/2019 19:00:00	Servette Geneve FC	Lausanne
Poland	Ekstraklasa	10/05/2019 19:30:00	Wisla	Korona Kielce
Belgium	Jupiler League	10/05/2019 19:30:00	St. Liege	Gent
Paraguay	Primera Division	10/05/2019 22:00:00	Dep. Capiata	San Lorenzo
Bolivia	Division Profesional	11/05/2019 01:00:00	Bolivar	Real Potosi
Japan	J-league Division 2	11/05/2019 07:00:00	Verdy	Avispa Fukuoka
Japan	J-league Division 2	11/05/2019 10:00:00	Ryukyu	Mito
Portugal	Segunda Liga	11/05/2019 11:00:00	Leixoes	Ferreira
Slovakia	Fortuna Liga	11/05/2019 14:00:00	Slovan Bratislava	Zilina
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Hoffenheim	SV Werder Bremen
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Dortmund	Dusseldorf
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Bayer Leverkusen	Schalke
Croatia	1. Hnl	11/05/2019 15:30:00	Lok. Zagreb	Osijek
Israel	Ligat Ha'al	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Netanya
France	Ligue 1	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Angers	Paris SG
Switzerland	Challenge League	11/05/2019 17:00:00	Vaduz	Winterthur
Uruguay	Primera Division	11/05/2019 17:15:00	Progreso	Fenix
Switzerland	Super League	11/05/2019 18:00:00	Thun	Lugano
Croatia	1. Hnl	11/05/2019 18:00:00	Rijeka	D. Zagreb
Bulgaria	Parva Liga	11/05/2019 18:15:00	CSKA Sofia	Ludogorets
Bolivia	Division Profesional	11/05/2019 20:00:00	Always Ready	Royal Pari
Chile	Primera Division	11/05/2019 20:00:00	Curico Unido	O'Higgins
USA	Mls	11/05/2019 21:00:00	Los Angeles Galaxy	New York City
Paraguay	Primera Division	11/05/2019 22:00:00	Guarani	Sol de America
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 00:30:00	Columbus Crew	Los Angeles FC
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 01:00:00	Chicago Fire	Minnesota
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 03:00:00	Seattle Sounders	Houston Dynamo
Japan	J-league	12/05/2019 06:00:00	Kobe	Kashima
Japan	J-league	12/05/2019 08:00:00	Shonan	Oita
South Korea	K League 1	12/05/2019 11:00:00	Ulsan Hyundai	Jeonbuk
China	Super League	12/05/2019 12:35:00	Guangzhou Evergrande	Jiangsu Suning
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Feyenoord	Den Haag
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	AZ Alkmaar	PSV
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Groningen	Sittard
Poland	Ekstraklasa	12/05/2019 14:30:00	Legia	Pogon Szczecin
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	FC Koln	Regensburg
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	Ingolstadt	Darmstadt
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	Paderborn	Hamburger SV
Switzerland	Super League	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Young Boys	Basel
Slovenia	Prva Liga	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Triglav	Celje
England	Premier League	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Burnley	Arsenal
Austria	Tipico Bundesliga	12/05/2019 16:00:00	Salzburg	LASK Linz
Czech Republic	1. Liga	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Slavia Prague	Plzen
Belgium	Jupiler League	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Club Brugge KV	Genk
Poland	Ekstraklasa	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Lechia Gdansk	Zaglebie
Turkey	Super Lig	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Yeni Malatyaspor	Erzurum BB
Bulgaria	Parva Liga	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Levski	Cherno More
Spain	Laliga	12/05/2019 17:30:00	Barcelona	Getafe
Uruguay	Primera Division	12/05/2019 19:00:00	Penarol	Club Nacional
Denmark	Superliga	12/05/2019 19:00:00	Midtjylland	FC Copenhagen
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 19:30:00	Atlanta United	Orlando City
Italy	Serie A	12/05/2019 19:30:00	AS Roma	Juventus
Portugal	Primeira Liga	12/05/2019 20:00:00	Rio Ave	Benfica
France	Ligue 1	12/05/2019 20:00:00	Marseille	Lyon
Paraguay	Primera Division	13/05/2019 00:00:00	River Plate	Olimpia Asuncion

 

Martin's Unders Galore Strategy: Rules - Under 2.5 goals MUST be 1.80+ odds prior to KO for any of the selections to qualify as trades for us. Teams must have at least 3 games left in the season. I aim to take 25% profit before hedging.

 

Ireland	Premier Division	10/05/2019 19:45:00	Bohemians	Dundalk
Spain	Laliga2	10/05/2019 20:00:00	Granada CF	Tenerife
South Korea	K League 1	11/05/2019 11:00:00	Seoul	Daegu
Ukraine	Premier League	11/05/2019 12:00:00	Mariupol	Lviv
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Nurnberg	B. Monchengladbach
Spain	Laliga2	11/05/2019 15:00:00	Gimnastic	Mallorca
Portugal	Primeira Liga	11/05/2019 15:30:00	Portimonense	Maritimo
Portugal	Primeira Liga	11/05/2019 15:30:00	Santa Clara	Feirense
Romania	Liga 1	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Poli Iasi	Calarasi
Switzerland	Super League	11/05/2019 18:00:00	Thun	Lugano
France	Ligue 1	11/05/2019 19:00:00	Caen	Reims
France	Ligue 1	11/05/2019 19:00:00	Nice	Nantes
Italy	Serie A	11/05/2019 19:30:00	Fiorentina	AC Milan
Japan	J-league	12/05/2019 05:00:00	Yamaga	Sapporo
Japan	J-league Division 2	12/05/2019 06:00:00	Montedio Yamagata	Chiba
Japan	J-league	12/05/2019 06:00:00	FC Tokyo	Iwata
Japan	J-league Division 2	12/05/2019 08:00:00	Tochigi	Kofu
Japan	J-league Division 2	12/05/2019 11:00:00	Ehime	Kagoshima Utd
Scotland	Premiership	12/05/2019 12:00:00	Rangers	Celtic
Ukraine	Premier League	12/05/2019 12:00:00	Desna	Olimpik Donetsk
Spain	Laliga	12/05/2019 17:30:00	Atl. Madrid	Sevilla
Romania	Liga 1	13/05/2019 18:30:00	FC Viitorul	Astra
Spain	Laliga2	13/05/2019 20:00:00	Malaga	R. Oviedo

 

Ryan's Over 1.5 goals Split Stake Strategy: Rules (Only ever enter the trades at 0-0 scoreline) - Split the stake and Back Over 1.5 goals at 35 minutes and 50 minutes - Take profit if goal is scored or a loss if no goal by 70 mins. Make sure stats are strong and goals look likely before entering the trade. 

 

Slovenia	Prva Liga	10/05/2019 15:45:00	Domzale	ND Gorica
Netherlands	Eredivisie	10/05/2019 17:30:00	Nijmegen	Waalwijk
Switzerland	Challenge League	10/05/2019 19:00:00	Servette Geneve FC	Lausanne
Iceland	Pepsideild	10/05/2019 19:00:00	Hafnarfjordur	KA Akureyri
Belgium	Jupiler League	10/05/2019 19:30:00	St. Liege	Gent
Poland	Ekstraklasa	10/05/2019 19:30:00	Wisla	Korona Kielce
Netherlands	Eredivisie	10/05/2019 19:45:00	Cambuur	Almere City
Wales	Premier League	10/05/2019 19:45:00	Newtown	Bala
Iceland	Inkasso-deildin	10/05/2019 20:15:00	Grotta	Throttur
Paraguay	Primera Division	10/05/2019 22:00:00	Dep. Capiata	San Lorenzo
USA	Mls	11/05/2019 03:00:00	Vancouver Whitecaps	Portland Timbers
Czech Republic	Division 2	11/05/2019 09:15:00	Trinec	Zizkov
Sweden	Allsvenskan	11/05/2019 12:30:00	Ostersunds	Hacken
Sweden	Superettan	11/05/2019 12:30:00	Trelleborgs	Halmstad
Singapore	Premier League	11/05/2019 13:30:00	Young Lions	Warriors
Czech Republic	1. Liga	11/05/2019 14:00:00	Pribram	Karvina
Slovakia	Fortuna Liga	11/05/2019 14:00:00	Slovan Bratislava	Zilina
Estonia	Meistriliiga	11/05/2019 14:00:00	Levadia	Tammeka
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Bayer Leverkusen	Schalke
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	Dortmund	Dusseldorf
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	VfB Stuttgart	Wolfsburg
Germany	Bundesliga	11/05/2019 14:30:00	FC Augsburg	Hertha Berlin
Finland	Ykkonen	11/05/2019 15:00:00	MyPa	AC Kajaani
Sweden	Superettan	11/05/2019 15:00:00	Brommapojkarna	Degerfors
Scotland	Premiership	11/05/2019 15:00:00	Livingston	Dundee FC
Portugal	Segunda Liga	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Academico Viseu	Penafiel
Hungary	Otp Bank Liga	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Honved	DVTK
Austria	Tipico Bundesliga	11/05/2019 16:00:00	Altach	Admira
Switzerland	Challenge League	11/05/2019 16:30:00	Schaffhausen	Aarau
Slovenia	Prva Liga	11/05/2019 16:45:00	Maribor	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Switzerland	Challenge League	11/05/2019 17:00:00	Vaduz	Winterthur
Poland	Ekstraklasa	11/05/2019 17:00:00	Legnica	Gornik Z.
Northern Ireland	Nifl Premiership	11/05/2019 17:30:00	Glentoran	Cliftonville
Switzerland	Super League	11/05/2019 18:00:00	Xamax	Zurich
Switzerland	Challenge League	11/05/2019 19:00:00	Chiasso	Rapperswil
Belgium	Jupiler League	11/05/2019 19:00:00	Waregem	Kortrijk
Belgium	Jupiler League	11/05/2019 19:00:00	Waasland-Beveren	Cercle Brugge KSV
England	League One	11/05/2019 19:30:00	Sunderland	Portsmouth
Uruguay	Primera Division	11/05/2019 19:30:00	Defensor Sp.	River Plate
USA	Mls	11/05/2019 20:00:00	Toronto FC	Philadelphia Union
Venezuela	Primera Division	11/05/2019 21:00:00	Metropolitanos	Atl. Venezuela
USA	Mls	11/05/2019 21:00:00	Los Angeles Galaxy	New York City
Iceland	Pepsideild	11/05/2019 21:00:00	Valur	Akranes
Paraguay	Primera Division	11/05/2019 22:00:00	Guarani	Sol de America
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 01:00:00	Chicago Fire	Minnesota
Mexico	Primera Division	12/05/2019 01:00:00	U.A.N.L.- Tigres	Pachuca
USA	Mls	12/05/2019 02:00:00	Colorado Rapids	Real Salt Lake
Japan	J-league	12/05/2019 06:00:00	Kobe	Kashima
China	Super League	12/05/2019 12:35:00	Shanghai SIPG	Shandong Luneng
Estonia	Meistriliiga	12/05/2019 13:00:00	Tulevik	Flora
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Zwolle	Venlo
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Feyenoord	Den Haag
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Heerenveen	Breda
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	AZ Alkmaar	PSV
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Willem II	FC Emmen
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Vitesse	Graafschap
Netherlands	Eredivisie	12/05/2019 13:30:00	Ajax	Utrecht
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	St. Pauli	Bochum
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	Paderborn	Hamburger SV
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	FC Koln	Regensburg
Germany	2. Bundesliga	12/05/2019 14:30:00	Sandhausen	Arminia Bielefeld
Malaysia	Premier League	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Negeri Sembilan	T-Team
Switzerland	Super League	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Young Boys	Basel
England	Premier League	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Liverpool	Wolves
Slovenia	Prva Liga	12/05/2019 15:00:00	Triglav	Celje
Austria	Tipico Bundesliga	12/05/2019 16:00:00	Salzburg	LASK Linz
Sweden	Allsvenskan	12/05/2019 16:30:00	Malmo FF	Elfsborg
Sweden	Superettan	12/05/2019 16:30:00	Syrianska	Mjallby
Norway	Eliteserien	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Molde	Mjondalen
Germany	Bundesliga	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Eintracht Frankfurt	1. FSV Mainz 05
Czech Republic	1. Liga	12/05/2019 17:00:00	Slavia Prague	Plzen
Spain	Laliga	12/05/2019 17:30:00	Villarreal	Eibar
Denmark	Superliga	12/05/2019 19:00:00	Midtjylland	FC Copenhagen
Norway	Eliteserien	12/05/2019 19:00:00	Stabaek	Brann
Portugal	Primeira Liga	12/05/2019 20:00:00	Rio Ave	Benfica
Norway	Eliteserien	13/05/2019 18:00:00	Stromsgodset	Viking
Bulgaria	Parva Liga	13/05/2019 18:00:00	Bistritsa	Dunav Ruse
Sweden	Allsvenskan	13/05/2019 18:00:00	Norrkoping	Goteborg

 

Ryan's Lay the Favourite at 3-3 or 4-4: Rules lay the favourite when the score gets to 3-3 or 4-4 in the first set (green up or take loss if at end of set or before).

 

Atp - Singles

Madrid

10/05/2019 20:30:00

Wawrinka S.

Nadal R.

 

 

Any questions ask here: http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/703/btc-daily-email-q-and...  

Set and Forget Results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UQYxOh-mUHfAm9OByLhzX0ooiQQUqYsh...

[Martin]

@darri it really depends but usually you are out by 20-25 mins if no goal early, if early goal I will keep tabs on the inplay stats to see if I can wait it out. under 0.5 may be worth a go but I don't like the fact that one goal costs you 100% stake loss.

[A Former User]

@Martin-Futter all my trading revolves around goals and swings in the market. I really want to dabble in the unders markets. I know markets dont behave but on your selections i have a few questions. 1. is it worth trading the FHG under 0.5 for a %profit. 2. on average how long are you in the market for 25% profit aim? I know that everything is per match and analyse how its going but on average how long do you tend to be in the market?