Trading Notes 8th May
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Swansea v Southampton Preview:
Massive game in the Premier League tonight between two teams fighting to stay clear of relegation.
Key Stats:
- Swans have won 6 drawn 3 and lost 8 away averaging 1.24 points per game
- Swans had not lost in 5 at home winning 4 before losing to Chelsea last time out
- Southampton have won 2 away drawn 8 and lost 8 averaging less that a point a game
- Southampton have not won away since Feb 3rd
For me this is an absolute coin toss, any outcome is very possible here. As a result I actually think Southampton are a touch short at 2.5, I would price them at 2.8 especially as they are the away team. Sometimes it can feel easier to play away from home in these situations but home advantage is still home advantage at the end of the day. This is purely an odds play so as always watch the start to make sure Southampton are not dominant early on. If they aren't then a back of Swansea draw no bet or a lay of Southampton at 2.5 should be good value plays. One play that would definitely also appeal here is a lay of Southampton if they score first and Swansea start playing well, Southampton will be odds on at that point and the risk is low.