BTC Daily Trading Advice - 17th September
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Below are our trading selections for today, please read this document before you enter any trade: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
Our Master results sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cpqyy6ijhtHNRs_7sSVBMVIrWEhmAuLF...
Note: Check the team is playing at the correct venue, as ever I avoid neutral venues and leagues that have only just started.
Football Selections -
ELO Strong team come back system: Full explanation here: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/betfair-elo-strong-team-comeback-trading-system
17/09/20 17:30 Iceland Pepsideild Home Hafnarfjordur v Vikingur Reykjavik 17/09/20 18:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Home Elfsborg v Mjallby Back a late goal filter when drawing - Strategy walkthrough guide here: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/betfair-late-goal-when-drawing-trading-strategy
Iceland Pepsideild 17/09/2020 17:30:00 Akranes Valur Sweden Allsvenskan 17/09/2020 18:00:00 Elfsborg Mjallby -
@martin-futter
Well this is where i need assistance. Before i signed up with you I was trawling through games and using soccerstats and a couple of tipping websites to narrow my selections, and also going on my own judgement if it were teams I knew. I'm trying a few things at mo....a similar ability teams filter which shows where teams odds are both between 2.5 and 3.5 and odds for u2.5 over 1.8. Also a low scoring 1st half filter where teams average goals per first half is below 1 and u2.5 odds is over 1.8.
I was doing ok'ish before using the filters so I'm trying to standardise my selections to get more consistency. I've also messed up a few selections by going for very high odds u2.5 odds, again on the away strong fav with a view to getting out earlier than 20 mins. So I guess I'm trying to get more consistency with my selections so I can work out whether it is profitable or not. -
@andrew-bannister what filters are you using?
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@martin-futter
Well my idea was to back u2.5 then to get out after 20 minutes. I dont know whether I'm getting value doing that though. I'm stuck between staying with it or just letting my selections run till full time. I usually go for slight favs away from home, hoping for a cagey start to the game. Some games this works well, others the odds barely move so I either cash out at 20 then see its still 0-0 at ht or let it run after 20 then the inevitable goal comes & have to take loss! Very frustrating
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@andrew-bannister said in BTC Daily Trading Advice - 17th September:
Hi martin,
I have noticed on your results master sheet you have a under 2.5 strategy on going. Is there a filter for this or is it still being tested. This is what I am working on and could do with some help.
Cheers
Andy
still being tested although it is pretty solid so far, what do you need help on?
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Hi martin,
I have noticed on your results master sheet you have a under 2.5 strategy on going. Is there a filter for this or is it still being tested. This is what I am working on and could do with some help.
Cheers
Andy
