New blog post by Martin Futter! Betfair Lay the Draw at Kick-Off Trading Strategy
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Before following any football strategy please familiarise yourself with this essential how to guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials
Video walkthrough here: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/content/lay-draw-kick
You can view this filter and the selections daily on the Football Software 'Profitable Members Filters' section.
The rules:
Lay the draw at Kick Off
When to trade out:
Green up if a goal is scored by the favourite.
If underdog scores green up if you can take a nice profit or stay in until have a profit, at 70 mins trade out regardless.
If drawing at 68-70mins and odds are 2.0 back the draw and just take the loss.
Notes:
This strategy has been a consitent performer for us for many years now.
During recent further testing there was a 88% win rate with a goal before 70mins.
Remember:
Although liability will look high at kick-off we are never risking anywhere near that full stake, we always exit at 70 mins if a goal is not scored before that.
Results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vNaoVpiYwiR79wrw0FQbCxu-IF62SiPicbxCXhIixrc/edit?usp=sharing