Trading Notes 4th March
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Lay the draw or the current scoreline at HT if 0-0. (Strategy is below the picks)
Selections:
England: Man City v Chelsea
Italy: Udinese v Fiorentina, Atalanta v Sampdoria
Spain: Real Sociedad v Alaves
France: Marseille v Nantes
Portugal: Tondela v Chaves
Lower league picks (only one week of testing done so your call if you follow)
Germany:
Heidenheim v Arminia
Swiss: Sion v Luzern
Turkey:
Fenerbache v Akhisar, Antalyaspor v Sivasspor
Set and forget strategy: For those who cannot trade inplay - Lay under 0.5 goals at the same odds that under 1.5 goals are prematch. So if under 1.5 goals is 4.0 prematch lay under 0.5 goals at 4.0 and select keep in play (this is a good way to predict the HT odds). If the 1.5 market is not fully liquid but still fairly liquid (say back column is 3.5 and lay column is 4.0) then lay the midpoint (in this case 3.75).
Prematch and Inplay Strategy (Less selections but had a very good strike rate this year) - Including in play stats rules: 5+ shots on target, 5+ shots off target and 5+ corners. You can combine the shots on target with off to make 10 but you must have at least 5 on target. So, for example, 10 on target and 0 off target would qualify but 0 on target and 10 off would not. I will try not to include games where SH goal odds will be ridiculously low, like Barcelona and Man City games etc.
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@daniel-handyside said in Trading Notes 4th March:
@martin-futter You still doing the first half goals
I should be given how many of these have had first half goals recently! Only doing LCS at HT when 0-0, 8pts profit on that last 8 days
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@martin-futter You still doing the first half goals
