Under 2.5 Goals Trades

Martin

Here are the games I will be trading Under 2.5 goals in today. These aren't outright set and forget bets, trade out when you have hit your target green! Cruziero price is too low for me but have included it for those interested.

Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Japan	J-league	19/08/2018 10:00:00	Shimizu	Urawa	1.91
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Japan	J-league	19/08/2018 11:00:00	Shonan	Kobe	1.98
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Sweden	Allsvenskan	19/08/2018 16:30:00	Brommapojkarna	AIK	2
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Norway	Eliteserien	19/08/2018 17:00:00	Kristiansund	Rosenborg	2.2
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Brazil	Serie A	19/08/2018 20:00:00	Vitoria	Palmeiras	1.92
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Brazil	Serie A	19/08/2018 20:00:00	Cruzeiro	Bahia	1.65
Under 2.5 Goals Basic	Paraguay	Primera Division	19/08/2018 23:30:00	Sp. Luqueno	Deportivo Santani	1.85

Martin

good day on these, 5/7 were winners

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@martin-futter thanks for response Martin, so it’s more protecting the downside, got it

Martin

@simon well there is further to go so yes it should come in a bit quicker, won't be a huge difference. the problem with 1.65 is it can't go very far down but can go a lot further up, depending on liability it could be more costly and my stats filter is geared towards finding value at 1.8+ anything less is marginal value according to my filter.

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I’ve been working on an under 2.5 goal filter using average goal time and it’s working well so far although not getting anywhere near as many selections as you are.
Might be a stupid question but I’m new to trading this market. When it comes to scalping the first 20 mins (what I’ve been doing) will the odds move more drastically if they start higher (say 2.5) rather than lower (say 1.8)? Which is why you’d give Cruzerio game a pass? This game came up on my filter and was planning on trading it, but keen to hear why it might not be a good idea. Thanks.

Nathan Bennett

yeah all good , taking a 20 tick offset approach then maybe split stakes on straight winners . love this keep up the good work

Martin

trading under 2.5 so the first game was a loss the second game a winner. not got set entry and exit points yet need to see what is best, there is an opportunity to trade for a good profit in a very high percentage of these so far.

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@nathan-bennett said in Under 2.5 Goals Trades:

Shimizu Urawa game has there been a 3rd goal market gone no confirmation , no biggie at mo

Still 1-1 according to flashscores

Nathan Bennett

Shimizu Urawa game has there been a 3rd goal market gone no confirmation , no biggie at mo

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Do you use a stop loss on these , or just take the green or red at predefined time for example 15 mins?

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@martin-futter Hi,
How are you trading?What are you doing?