John’s Horse Trading Resources
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A lot of stuff seems to go missing in the HRT, especially now it has livened up. I will post anything useful here. Links/files etc.
I will post the links etc in the first comment(this one. They will then be referenced in the relevant comment if applicable. Feel free to question away.
GENERAL RESOURCES
This calculation will work out your drawdown.
=MIN((Y2-MAX($Y$2:Y2))/MAX($Y$2:Y2),0)
You need to apply it to your running total column as I have done in the example below. Make your first row your starting bank. This then needs to be applied to the whole column.
This calculation will then show you your highest bank drawdown. It needs to be applied to the relevant column.
=MIN(AH:AH).
It will then give you a largest drawdown figure like this.
Courtesy of Martin Futter
Odds Probability Table to calculate odds against strike rate
https://www.isfa.com/odds-probability-chart.html
Courtesy of Matt Wood
If anyone uses google sheets and you have your filter S/R, then in the cell next to it put this:
=1/(E16/100)/100 (e16 being the cell with the % S/R)
Should auto calculate the odds required (not counting for commission)
Courtesy of Richard Latimer
Useful Trading Links
www.bettingtools.co.uk
www.aceodds.comEstimate Losing Runs
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thebetinvestor.com/guide/how-to-estimate-your-longest-losing-sequence/amp/HORSE SPECIFIC RESOURCES
Horse Software Tips
Always run two versions of your strategy. One called results with all your filters and one called qualifiers with variables like number of runners removed. You can then filter these manually or on your bot as they change a lot.The Original Maria Staking Thread from 2005.
Essential Horse Trading Links.
https://www.cheltenhambettingoffers.com/articles/glossary/
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/horse-racing-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies
https://www.timeform.com/horse-racing (Information on the days racing and past results)
https://www.racingpost.com/non-runners/ (Going and non runners for the day)
Important Definitions for Inrunning trading
Dream maker 62’s LTB
My DOB/TROB rules
dr-dobs.json
dr-trobs.jsonBasically the same but the Dobs use a wider price range. Do either or both. They are both profitable.
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@John-Folan the dream!
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@Ryan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Amazing results!!! Full automated as well?
Oh yes
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1/2 dobs and 1/2 trobs for a simple one point profit. If I could make one point a day every day I would be a happy man
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@John-Folan Amazing results!!! Full automated as well?
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Had one, and it tripped over a faller
That's where not seeing a race has an advantage on my mental health
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@John-Folan Had one, and it tripped over a faller
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No trades today
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@Adam said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Mad how they were so bad for about a year after the pandemic and then just settled back into their old routine
I've found several strategies like this recently. Not specifically COVID-related but ones that just take a dive for a year for no apparent reason!
Strange hey? Like the beaten favourites got battered for a couple of months. They were behaving again last time I looked
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@Martin said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan how did they do during Pandemic?
Not great at all
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@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Mad how they were so bad for about a year after the pandemic and then just settled back into their old routine
I've found several strategies like this recently. Not specifically COVID-related but ones that just take a dive for a year for no apparent reason!
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@John-Folan how did they do during Pandemic?
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@Martin said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
1/1 dobs and 1/1 trobs for 3 more points today. Only one potential selection tomorrow.
these are on fire! Well done mate
Mad how they were so bad for about a year after the pandemic and then just settled back into their old routine
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@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
1/1 dobs and 1/1 trobs for 3 more points today. Only one potential selection tomorrow.
these are on fire! Well done mate
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1/1 dobs and 1/1 trobs for 3 more points today. Only one potential selection tomorrow.
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@Tony-Hastie the win is good on these. It used to be as well before the pandemic. Was at least as profitable as the trobs
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So many ways to approach this. I really want another look at the beaten favourites as well. They were good for so long
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@John-Folan and am now trying to work out why Fiver Friday and Warda Jamila didnt make my trade list
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@John-Folan The 17.10 at Hamilton was good to me thanks to Desperate Hero. As well as the 4 point QOB system I had a point on the win. It bolted in going off at 12s.
I added a win point last month as I seemed to be picking a few winners. Ended the month with a 49% win rate! Suffice to say it was a good month....and will probably be very hard to emulate
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What a race!! 17:40 at Hamilton had two selections in the odds range. Both dobbed and both trobbed.
Today reads
Dobs 3/3
Trobs 2/27 points profit