First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line
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Thur 22/09/22 No Selections.
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Wed 21/09/22 No Selections.
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Tue 20/09/2022 Selections.
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@gary-finnigan-0 said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king any reason why you removed the Uruguay game ?
It’s the penultimate game of the season for them, and from what I can tell there is nothing glaringly obvious in terms of either having anything to play for, despite them both qualifying on O1.5G pre match odds and when double checking Sofa Score SHG’s for both teams, both weren’t serial goal conceders only.
I need to make a decision on how many games left in a season not to trade and haven’t quite done that yet but will add it to the rules when I do. I’m thinking starting to question them on 5-4 games left and then avoiding from 3-1. You sometimes get goal-fests in end of season games but sometimes the opposite or a load of first half goals then nothing second half.
Plus this filter is not necessarily a multi-goals filter, it’s just one that identifies a goal has been scored in the second half in the last 5 matches of each team which is all That’s needed for a winning trade.
My thinking behind it is that the teams in the selections have something about them that has lead to a consistent second half goal. Not necessarily them being high scorers.
Having said that it’ll probably be a perfect trade! But there will always be another just around the corner.
I was tempted to just go for it but made the decision and moved on to check over the next match. -
@chris-king any reason why you removed the Uruguay game ?
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Mon 19/09/2022 No Selections.
Tue 20/09/2022 Overnight/Early Morning Selections.
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Sun 18/09/2022 Selections.
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Sat 17/09/2022 No Selections.
The filter found 13 matches but all had O1.5G BSP well under 1.30. At least, the narrowing down is working
Also noticed Betfair also seems to have ditched the Singapore premier League the past 2-3 days
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@ryan said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@ryan Thanks! Hopefully it can be something good, but even if it bombs, I’m still going to learn more than i know already.
Exactly!
When you have a blog like this it helps make you accountable to you'll more likely stick with the strategy, which is only a good thing and most likely you'll spot more
It's also great because others love reading these posts and following along they might even spot something.
Yes, it’s already having a positive and more structured effect on my approach compared other things I’ve been doing, plus had decent advice right from the start.
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This post is deleted!
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@chris-king said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@ryan Thanks! Hopefully it can be something good, but even if it bombs, I’m still going to learn more than i know already.
Exactly!
When you have a blog like this it helps make you accountable to you'll more likely stick with the strategy, which is only a good thing and most likely you'll spot more
It's also great because others love reading these posts and following along they might even spot something.
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Fri 16/09/2022 No Selections.
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Thur 15/09/2022 Selections.
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@chris-osborne said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@matt-wood said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-osborne said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king good luck, in addition to what Matt has said be careful of leagues which have virtually finished there season - Korea 1 falls into that category
Thank you too. Yes that is another important point and worth adding to the strategy.
I use Sofa Score quite a bit and it’s easy enough to scroll each teams fixtures to see how many remain.
Would you or anyone recommend a specific number of matches regardless of the league position, without having to assess each teams motivation?
I depends on each person and, I would imagine, their strategies, but somewhere between 3 and 5 seems to be a sensible amount.
Also look if teams have anything to play for if both are still involved then would still potentially get involved but if one or none then probably not
Ok, those are pretty straight forward rules to add in. Might go with excluding the last 3 matches unless the teams have something to play for. Thanks
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@matt-wood said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-osborne said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king good luck, in addition to what Matt has said be careful of leagues which have virtually finished there season - Korea 1 falls into that category
Thank you too. Yes that is another important point and worth adding to the strategy.
I use Sofa Score quite a bit and it’s easy enough to scroll each teams fixtures to see how many remain.
Would you or anyone recommend a specific number of matches regardless of the league position, without having to assess each teams motivation?
I depends on each person and, I would imagine, their strategies, but somewhere between 3 and 5 seems to be a sensible amount.
Also look if teams have anything to play for if both are still involved then would still potentially get involved but if one or none then probably not
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@chris-king said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-osborne said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king good luck, in addition to what Matt has said be careful of leagues which have virtually finished there season - Korea 1 falls into that category
Thank you too. Yes that is another important point and worth adding to the strategy.
I use Sofa Score quite a bit and it’s easy enough to scroll each teams fixtures to see how many remain.
Would you or anyone recommend a specific number of matches regardless of the league position, without having to assess each teams motivation?
I depends on each person and, I would imagine, their strategies, but somewhere between 3 and 5 seems to be a sensible amount.
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@chris-osborne said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
@chris-king good luck, in addition to what Matt has said be careful of leagues which have virtually finished there season - Korea 1 falls into that category
Thank you too. Yes that is another important point and worth adding to the strategy.
I use Sofa Score quite a bit and it’s easy enough to scroll each teams fixtures to see how many remain.
Would you or anyone recommend a specific number of matches regardless of the league position, without having to assess each teams motivation?
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@ryan Thanks! Hopefully it can be something good, but even if it bombs, I’m still going to learn more than i know already.
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@matt-wood said in First Blog - Second Half Goal Any Score Line:
Good stuff Chris, will be following along with this, best of luck.
A minor point to be aware of in you manual selection of games, keep an eye out for teams that meet your filter requirements of over 0.5% H2 where they meet it by conceding and not scoring much. It should not come up too often but I have noticed it, and got stung, a few times on mine. You get two crappy teams that don't score much but concede a lot of H2 goals.
Thank you, hopefully I can make something of this.
That is an excellent point and I’m going to see if i can adjust the filter or just manually discard any bogey match ups.
First reply and I’ve already benefited from starting this thread. Cheers!
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@chris-king good luck, in addition to what Matt has said be careful of leagues which have virtually finished there season - Korea 1 falls into that category
