*****New Football Thread*****
-
@Martin same applies to Ryan's LTD Bet Green strategy but that might just be down to lack of games played so far this season?
-
@Adam-Cubbage I've not had a single selection this month mate, but I assumed it was just a quiet period as this isn't a particularly high volume strategy anyway.
-
@Adam-Cubbage I'll get @Adam to look into this
-
@Dan-MacKinnon haha have you got a filter for that one?
-
Has anyone else not had a selection from the past month for Tomasz Lay U1.5 filter?
Don't know if just been a really quiet month or some sort of block in my filter. -
Just got back from the Palace game with my mate. Every now and then he would check Bet365 to see what the odds for something happening. Everything he said I thought “I would lay that”.
Shame I’m not checking my account otherwise I would have had a profitable day using the “lay the mug punter” strategy
-
@Aaron-Franco good work cheers for this!
-
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.
The data is still great.
Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.
That game still hits all my criteria and looking at the stats it's another....WTAF!!! Vancouver xG of 1.41, 19 shots, 8 on target, 4 big chances, 1 hit woodwork, 15 shots INSIDE the box
-
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
I try to be cautious, I get burned. I try to be less cautious and follow the data I already have...at the moment I get burned. I'm thinking the next thing is lower max odds while these things get to where I eventually want.
The data is still great.
Over lays going great but still a fraction of the selections as they are essentially a failed subset of my under lays.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
I thought i would share my results from testing. I let the bet run until the end.
entry when the market reaches 1.32+ weather that is pre match or inplay. odd range 1.32 - 1.59
Key Information - From £10 Stakes. Starting Balance £1,000
P&L From Testing
£233.88 (Post Tweak) / £133.29 (Pre Tweak)Strike Rate
79.37% (Post Tweak) / 76.36% (Pre Tweak)ROI
7.42% (Post Tweak) / 3.46% (Pre Tweak)Total Selections
315 (Post Tweak) / 385 (Pre Tweak)Ave Odds
1.37 (Post Tweak) / 1.38 (Pre Tweak)Selections a month
39 Ave (Post Tweak) / 48 Ave (Pre Tweak) -
@Aaron-Franco Are these backs or lays?
-
Over 1.5 Midtjylland V Brondby
-
SHG in the Gent vs Sint-Truiden match. 1-2 at HT
-
SHG in the Genk vs Sporting Charleroi match. 0-0 at HT
-
My apologies I did forget to mention in my post I'm monitoring at the moment and will be start trading after game week 8
-
Taking it super cautious until Sept but this looks a good one on paper.:
Lay Under 1.5 Vancouver Whitecaps overnight
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Aaron-Franco interesting stuff will follow with interest!
-
Afternoon everyone,
I hope everyone is having a nice weekend, this is my first time posting on here. I spent all last season gathering data on a number of strategies and after spending the summer looking through it all I think/hope some profitable strategies have been found and this is going to be my first season properly staking and wanted to share some selections with you all
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby V Randers O1.5
