Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer Welcome to my world without the runaway train
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July started off like a runaway train. All of a sudden it's become a conked out Austin Alegro :man_facepalming_light_skin_tone:
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Yesterday was a meh.....day which really compounded the misery of the last couple of weeks. Still just under 7% up for July. A week to go.
Once more......all the data for H2H etc double checked. All within at least a small cushion of positive results either side. Lay under 1.5:
Oh yeah, yesterday was 6/8 for a loss of just over 2pts
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Stupido. 1/2 on the last 2 so a poor day.
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Wow.....did not expect that from the Icelandic game!
So........from being 10% up to pushing to get that closer to 20%-25% again.....if both the last 2 lose I'm at 0%!!!
If they both win......I have a small green for the day. What a rollercoaster!
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Gone over and over them. I would advise anyone else to do the same. Can't depict just how many mistakes I've made and how much money could have been saved in the past. They all appear to be 100% qualifiers based on current data and decisions. Not only that, I've checked each of the lowest parameters and there are enough selections below it for these to be considered within the sweet spot.
Lay under 1.5:
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After having nothing for a few days tomorrow looks busy. Just want to run the rule over them all for a 2nd time before I post.
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer Calm before the storm with alot of leagues now starting?
Yeah I saw. Need to wait until 4 fixtures have been played so hopefully more from summer leagues over the next week or so.
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@richard-latimer Calm before the storm with alot of leagues now starting?
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Nothing for tomorrow and I don't think there's anything for Sat either.
Definitely nothing for Saturday either. Bit of a lull in my selections last few days!
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Nothing for tomorrow and I don't think there's anything for Sat either.
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Nothing for tomorrow
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
2-0 already
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For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
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0-0
Still nicely ahead this month but with a few kicks in the teeth showing me where not to go in future in terms of my parameters.
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay under 1.5:
Bodes pretty well for Peru as that's already a very good league for these and the figures furthest right which I've just started looking at show ave goals + h/a scored, h/a conceded averages.
There's yet to be a loss on my qualifying data @ 9.65 or above from 50 trades
2/2 and it's been a little while since I could say that.
Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay under 1.5:
Bodes pretty well for Peru as that's already a very good league for these and the figures furthest right which I've just started looking at show ave goals + h/a scored, h/a conceded averages.
There's yet to be a loss on my qualifying data @ 9.65 or above from 50 trades
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Lay under 1.5:
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I've been told I'm better at accepting losing streaks although I think I still have work to do. Luckily it's easy enough to reintroduce things after deciding to scrap them when I have all my smart filters at work in excell.
To scrap those 60 selections is to scrap 29pts since the end of May which is pretty potty! S/r's are lower but odds too are loweer.
I have moved to do away with teams not in the same league as each other the season before as it was only a few and actually makes things less complicated for the sake of 1 or 2pts.
There's nothing else today anyway so I'll start afresh tomorrow with some ground to make up from the high point reached a good week ago!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay Under 1.5 Montreal. Almost missed it.
Shame I didn't miss it!
I opened the variables out on this too much I think and the last week has shown me I have to get it tighter again so until there is at least another months data on anything under 3+ average goals I'll be leaving well alone.
This does mean I'm saying goodbye to a good 60 selections since the end of May but I think it's best to be brutal FOR NOW. I've gone from 25% ROI in July to around 10% losing 15% in a week.
The one saving grace is that even had I not opened it out so much there have only been 15 selections in July 3+ and the last of those just lost meaning I pretty much got to a similar place, just with a lot more ups and downs.