The BTC Football Trading Thread

[Matt Wood]

@alastair-todd Seems to have been a bit like that for me so far this weekend, it will come good though

[Alastair Todd]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals: Sunday, 25th July 2021 - @daniel-cooper

11:00 - Ulsan v Suwon
15:00 - Kobenhavn v Silkeborg
15:00 - Plzen v Mlada
16:30 - Kups v Ilves
17:00 - Brondby v Viborg
17:30 - Anderlecht v Union St Gilloise
17:55 - Rijeka v Istra
18:00 - CSKA Moscow v FC Ufa
20:15 - Vikingur v Stjarnan
23:00 - New York City v Orlando City

A lot of football today!

Good stuff although, amusingly, I seem to be getting matched on the selections that are losing and not getting matched in time for the ones that are winning! Could do with 2 quick goals in Denmark in the next couple of minutes please.

[A Former User]

Some more goal games I'm trading a correct score later are;

Atlético Mineiro v Bahia
Fortaleza v Red Bull Bragantino
Leiknir Reykjavík v KA Akureyri

Will be dutching target scores 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3

Above games taken from a new Poisson calculation I'm working on.

Be interesting to see how these games go, the German game earlier was just taken from IPS

[A Former User]

@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Bundesliga 2 game but Sandhausen is hot... Jumped on a 3 goal correct score trade here just before the disallowed goal... Stranger things happen but will be surprised if the game ends 0-0

I dutched 3-0, 2-1, 1-2 & 0-3
Have layed 0-0 to scratch

Red flag... Well it's Bundesliga 2

Could've taken green from 2 goals but as I was already scratch from the first goal I held on... Hopefully some of you managed to jump on a SHG

[A Former User]

Bundesliga 2 game but Sandhausen is hot... Jumped on a 3 goal correct score trade here just before the disallowed goal... Stranger things happen but will be surprised if the game ends 0-0

I dutched 3-0, 2-1, 1-2 & 0-3
Have layed 0-0 to scratch

Red flag... Well it's Bundesliga 2

[A Former User]

LTD list:

Atletico MG vs Bahia (brazil)

lay to win 1pt

Update this after game not much else on SHG wise until later in day

[John Folan]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals: Saturday, 24th July 2021 - @daniel-cooper

09:30 - Sweden (W) v Australia (W)
16:00 - Rapid Vienna v Hartberg
17:00 - Ruzomberok v FK Senica
17:30 - Kortrijk v Seraing
19:00 - Legia Warsaw v Wisla Plock

I'll add the potentials to this in the morning

4/6 yesterday. Hope to do better today

Bookie Bastard!!!!

[Eamonn Hogan]

Just the one for me today.

Lay under 1.5

Seattle Sounders v Kansas City

[Ryan]

HT LTD / HT LCS today for me

10:30 Geylang v Balestier Khalsa

20:15 Keflavik v Breidablik

20:15 Kopavogur v Valur

[Simji]

@Keith-Anderson what odds are you laying at? I tried.a few ticks higher in the over markets yesterday all was done early with keep clicked only one went in play. The 7.00 legia game

[A Former User]

@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG's on my watchlist today and v. early tomorrow morning:

Japan J1 League - 24/07/2021 11:00:00 Sagan Tosu C-Osaka
Sweden Superettan - 24/07/2021 16:00:00 Landskrona Sundsvall
Brazil Serie A - 24/07/2021 23:00:00 Palmeiras Fluminense
USA Mls - 25/07/2021 01:30:00 FC Dallas Los Angeles Galaxy
USA Mls - 25/07/2021 03:30:00 Los Angeles FC Vancouver Whitecaps

Roundup of yesterday, SHG in every game, missing the first two of the day.

Palmeiras Fluminense (+1.5)
FC Dallas Los Angeles Galaxy (+1.28)
Los Angeles FC Vancouver Whitecaps (+1.28)

+4.08 points for the day.

Just these two for me today, been on a good run so expecting a blip sooner or later:

Sweden Allsvenskan 25/07/2021 16:30:00 Hacken Elfsborg
Brazil Serie A 25/07/2021 20:00:00 Fortaleza Bragantino

[Akiva Anderson]

Lay Under 1.5 Goals: Sunday, 25th July 2021 - @daniel-cooper

11:00 - Ulsan v Suwon
15:00 - Kobenhavn v Silkeborg
15:00 - Plzen v Mlada
16:30 - Kups v Ilves
17:00 - Brondby v Viborg
17:30 - Anderlecht v Union St Gilloise
17:55 - Rijeka v Istra
18:00 - CSKA Moscow v FC Ufa
20:15 - Vikingur v Stjarnan
23:00 - New York City v Orlando City

A lot of football today!

[Akiva Anderson]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals: Saturday, 24th July 2021 - @daniel-cooper

09:30 - Sweden (W) v Australia (W)
16:00 - Rapid Vienna v Hartberg
17:00 - Ruzomberok v FK Senica
17:30 - Kortrijk v Seraing
19:00 - Legia Warsaw v Wisla Plock

I'll add the potentials to this in the morning

4/6 yesterday. Hope to do better today

[A Former User]

25-07 Todays Goal Games

These games really suit my Split Stake (original intention) so will stick with this trade for now rather than SHG... Whilst SHG is in profit using this filter, summer month games have been a bit inconsistent.

I've set these up on my bot regardless of odds so will run with all of them... If trading manually you may just wish to focus on games which only reach min odds of 1.3/1.35 on 12mins.

Am now including Belarus, Brazil & Uruguay as these leagues seems to deliver 1 goal minimum between 12 & 80mins (often earlier) on the filter.

If in doubt check IPS before entering and ensure decent attacking intent.

[A Former User]

@kevin-pepper Yes mate, was going to ask if you wanted me to email it to you for that very reason... PM your email addy and I'll send it over

[Kevin Pepper]

@alan-steward Hi Alan, any chance you can post/share the settings for your Fairbot bot for your split stake strategy. I'd be interested to see how the Fairbot guys set it up?
Thanks
Kevin

[A Former User]

@daniel-mills Well my Split Stake file is working perfectly fine so if you want to use that during your trial let me know... Fairbot support knocked it up without me asking for it... I only asked if Fairbot was capable of doing the trade... He then sent me back a file... Excellent service

[A Former User]

@alan-steward interesting... will take a look. I'm sure Martin recommended fairbot before also. might be worth simulating some trades during the trial to see how I get on. Nice one.

[A Former User]

@daniel-mills gotcha... Reason I'm asking is because I'm fully aware Bet Angel isn't something new traders can easily afford... The best software I've used for my correct score trading is Fairbot and by a country mile (whatever a country mile is ).

I've just started messing about with my Split Stake on Fairbot and it actually works really well.

I'm now looking to knock up a file on Fairbot to LCS on 60mins which I'm sure can be done and can be done equally well for 75mins also.

To do this you need to know the odds window for circa 60mins which is between 2.6 & 5.5... Therefore by loading all the goal markets and asking it to lay current score on the 58min mark it will apply to the correct market as it should be within the above window (the above odds window would be set as a condition along with only being able to fire the lay inside a 60 second window ie between 58 & 59mins).

I mention Fairbot as it's even more affordable than Bet Angel.

Can you not automate at all with Geeks Toy?

[A Former User]

@alan-steward Don't think you can automate it in geeks toy. I usually put an order in to back the next goal at HT so it's very much score dependent. I've put in orders for 0.5 goals and left them overnight but obviously they won't get matched if there's a goal in the first half.

Haven't really explored the automation in other software as I bought geeks toy outright a couple of years ago. It's Bet Angel that you use, isn't it?

A typical 'trade' might be:

HT score 0-1
Back O 1.5 goals 3.75pts @ 1.34 (usually kicks in around the 60 mins mark)
Back O 1.5 goals 1.25pts @ 1.8 (usually kicks in around the 70-75 mins mark)

if both get matched (and a goal comes in), it's around 2.3 points or -5 if nothing happens. Maybe not a million miles away from your split stakes?