BTC Cricket Trading Thread
-
Just a quick word about the Momentum Cup being played in South Africa. The Final between the Dolphins and the Lions at Potchefstroom on Thursday. With plenty of rain around the real interest is in the Completed Match Market.
What many punters may not realise is that there's a reserve day for this game on the Friday, so it could be that the 'no' price could go close to 1.01 on the first day before some of the backers have woken up to the fact. The only fly in the ointment is that the forecast for Friday is even worse, but I would still expect a decent rise in price if the chance presents itself.
It's also worth bearing in mind that Potchefstroom is a terrible ground for drainage and an unplayable surface even after the rain has stopped, so if there is heavy rain on the Friday, 'no' would be a pretty safe bet. It certainly worked out nicely for me today with the abandonment of the second semi final.
-
Channel 4 has just secured the rights to England’s tour of India starting Thursday and Australia’s tour of South Africa has also just been postponed. It means NZ are definitely in the World Test Championship Final at Lords.
-
@nathan-bennett on day 1 of the comp there were plenty of opportunities both sides trading at 1.10 in first game and looked to have potential. Then Friday and yesterday it was win toss and bowl and there was 5 matches in a row where the team batting first made less than 100 and the chasing team got the runs in a canter before the last game yesterday where the team batting first made 138 and won easily.
Definitely been tricky to gauge but 120 seems around par 130 is a great score and less than 120 not much hope.
Just what I noticed over first three days and plenty of liquidity. -
Any interest out there in this T10 comp .. Initially thought too late and not to bother . think there's plenty to make at below 1.1 range . also there's a 1 over surge for batting advantage ..
-
Runs on the board for scorchers and prices pretty much same as SP. quality bowling v quality batting , runs on the board in a final I'm having bet on scorchers and a re back if drift out to 3's+ during power play ... later on before or when sixers take the surge might green or red out and may even back sixers for that surge (often profitable) delete delete
-
@nathan-bennett It's amazing how often history repeats itself in Test cricket. You wouldn't think that results over 65 years could impact a current match, but they do show just how teams can dominate in home conditions. It's the same with teams chasing big fourth innings targets; punters nearly always overestimate their chances of succeeding, even though history shows us how very difficult it is to chase 300 plus in the final innings under most circumstances.
-
@richard-futter huge info cheers . Was the smallest of trades TBH just tried squeezing additional green . I should know better by now final innings laying winning teams
-
@mark-gorton yeah mate, made some great mates over the years from all over the place. India is a great place to tour.
So are Pakistan and Sri Lanka both amazing countries. -
@james-woodroffe Loved the mix of Brits, Ozzies, South Africans and Locals made a great team to look after and how else would you see so much of the country on someone else dollar. Also did a bit the other side of the border, however, not much chance to watch cricket there.
-
@mark-gorton we had some great guys that did your job mate and kept us all safe and trusted that you guys knew what you were doing made our lives easier. Respect.
-
@james-woodroffe Hi James, you never know, I was the security manager, so did all my work before the matches and then use to hang around with the camera crews during the games. Had a great time but my company lost the contract after that, so didn't have a chance to revisit.
-
@mark-gorton Our paths may very well have crossed mate. I was on the IPL Production team from 2008 to 2015 although I know they have 4 crews per year maybe we didn't. I met my wife on the 2011 edition in a Chennai hotel lobby. She was a Production manager for IMG. Small world.
-
@martin-futter First time I have seen or followed a cricket trade, very interesting and looks a great way to trade at a slower pace. I like the fact I could follow the comments on the forum and then see how they evolve in Betfair. On a side note, I worked with the IPL production team for three months in 2013, went all over India and saw how crazy they were about cricket as a nation....Now I wish I had paid more attention to the actual game...
-
@richard-futter said in 2020 Cricket Trading Thread - Updated Thread:
@nathan-bennett I usually resist the temptation of laying Pakistan on home soil. In 65 years they've only lost once in Karachi, so for me a lay of the opposition is usually the first port of call.
really good info that cheers!
-
@nathan-bennett I usually resist the temptation of laying Pakistan on home soil. In 65 years they've only lost once in Karachi, so for me a lay of the opposition is usually the first port of call.
-
Had a small early lay PAK @1.27 trade target 1.55 . gave up on this happy with overall trades .
just seen whats unfolding been eyeing similar . Rate of partnership decent . All markets moving . -
Looks like a pitch where you're in danger early on, but if you can stay in for 9 or 10 overs you can start to build an innings.
If SA can somehow fashion a lead of around 150, there could be one or two scares still for Pakistan which could lead to some tasty odds backing the home side.
There's no real sign of the pitch breaking up totally, and I'm pretty certain Pakistan will prevail in the long run.
-
@richard-futter incredible days trading!
-
Paradise for draw layers yet again. That's Test cricket for you - looks like nothing much is happening, then bang-bang-bang the draw price goes from 3.5 to 24!
-
@sameer nuts wasnt a huge draw lay that was coming tmr haha .
