BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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almost posted same thing . also have had a lay pretty much on par now . go again at 1.8
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Trying a lay of the draw at a tasty 2.4..... second hour of the day often brings a wicket or two, and I just think it's far too short in any case
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2.46 to lay the draw just after drinks on day 1. Wow.
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@nathan-bennett village.
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no words
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Great insight, I’ve made many mistakes in the past backing the side barring first. Thanks Richard
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@gregory-emblin no; I wouldn't back the side batting first early on, as wickets can tumble fast and you can find yourself with a huge red if you're not careful. I tend to work on the draw early on, laying the majority of the time. I like to build up a little green on the first day, then build on it in the subsequent innings. There could be storms but still looks like they'll be short-lived to me and I reckon the draw will trade very high in this match over the coming days.
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Had a little lay of the draw at 3.2 - so that dropped catch was well annoying!
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@jon-m that seems like a sensible approach. LTD is a short term up to lunch tick stealing exercise. I saw in the last test how much any rain can move the goalposts, despite the fact there was next to no chance of the draw actually coming to pass.
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Hi Richard, I'm interested to know in this situation if you actually place a back bet on Pakistan pre game as we are unsure who will be batting first at this stage, or do you wait for the toss before placing a position.
Cheers
Greg -
Current plan is to back the Draw on the stroke of lunch. Looks like rain from 2pm and I can see some wickets fall this morning, so that strategy seems fairly risk free.
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Up and down like a yo-yo
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Draw laid before morning coffee at 2.86 and now 3.15 before the 2nd one.
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Goes back to the forecast i suggested but have monitored weather patterns and Southampton have been missing a lot, if the test was in Old trafford this week, it would be a stick on draw. Humid conditions mean that the bowling side does have some good assistance. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw an early finish today around 4 ish, then 3 good days. Monday can still change.
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Draw @ 2.82.
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@nathan-bennett hope you’re right mate! (Sure you are). Just looked at the weather again. First 3 days look really really ok. 4th day some interruption. 5th day problematic. Enough for a LTD price of 2.96/3.. pff no chance. I’m in there.. couple of early wickets maybe and hey presto..
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keep those weather updates coming ha, market s**t itself players step on pitch on time . also think if wickets wont take long for draw to trim down some as per usual so hopefully good equity building day 1
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@dean-adams cheers mate appreciate it.
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The forecast has gone from 5 days of possible rain to 3 bone dry and sun/mon wet, back to some rain on most days. Price has been up and down a bit. Scalped a tiny bit of green
